Washington State Cougars at Seattle U Redhawks: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 30, 10:00 PM ETClimate Pledge Arena · at Seattle U · Conference game

Final

#119SEASeattle U69▲ winner

Closing lineSEA -6.5✓ SEA covered by 7.5

Closing total144.5Under by 20.5

Season records: Washington St and Seattle U
WSU	This season	SEA
5-8	Record	9-3
6-7	ATS	4-8
5-8	O/U	6-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WSU 70–74 SEA · ✓ SEA (65%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WSU	22	33	55
SEA	36	33	69

1st half: WSU 22, SEA 36 (SEA by 14). The model had SEA by 2.5 and a total of 67.3 (actual 58).

Team stats

WSU		SEA
19-64 30%	Field goals	20-47 43%
4-27 15%	3-pointers	10-24 42%
13-23 57%	Free throws	19-25 76%
54 25 off	Rebounds	28 2 off
5	Assists	14
3	Steals	12
4	Blocks	9
19	Turnovers	11
19	Fouls	19
24	Points in paint	18
11	Fast-break points	11

Players

WSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ace Glass G	30	13	3	0	4-13	3-8
Eemeli Yalaho F	29	6	8	1	3-7	0-2
ND Okafor C	27	11	12	1	5-11	0-0
Adria Rodriguez G	20	0	2	0	0-3	0-2
Tomas Thrastarson F	11	7	5	0	1-4	0-1
Bench
Rihards Vavers F	26	5	7	0	2-9	1-7
Jerone Morton G	24	8	3	1	4-8	0-2
Emmanuel Ugbo F	18	5	7	2	0-6	0-3
Simon Hildebrandt F	13	0	3	0	0-3	0-2
Parker Gerrits G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Brunel Madzou, Dio Blakely, Kase Wynott, Dominik Robinson

SEA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Junseok Yeo F	31	10	3	1	3-10	0-5
Brayden Maldonado G	30	15	3	0	3-9	3-6
Maleek Arington G	29	8	1	3	2-5	2-4
Will Heimbrodt F	29	9	2	3	3-8	1-2
Austin Maurer C	27	6	6	3	2-5	1-3
Bench
Jojo Murphy G	16	8	2	2	3-3	2-2
Houran Dan C	13	2	3	0	0-1	0-0
John Christofilis G	11	2	0	0	1-3	0-1
Miles Amos G	11	7	2	2	2-2	1-1
Brock Felder F	3	2	1	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Ray Adams, Eric Zheng, Yuto Kawashima, Jeremiah Harshman, Stratos Papastavrou, JT White

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SEA -6.5	SEA -4.3	WSU +2.2	L SEA covered
Total	144.5	143.6	Under 0.9	W Under
Projected score	—	WSU 69.6 · SEA 74

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SEA -2.5	SEA -14.0
1H total	67.3	58
1H projected score	WSU 32.4 · SEA 34.9	WSU 22 · SEA 36

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WSU LWWLW	6-7	46%	3-1	2-4
SEA LLWLL	4-8	33%	2-5	2-8

Venue/role: WSU away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WSU UUUOU	5-8	38%	5-8
SEA OOUUU	6-6	50%	9-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WSU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
SEA	8-2 80%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

WSU 1–0 SEAWSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WSU 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 12, 2021-22	SEA 61 @ WSU 79	WSU -13.5	WSU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Washington St

13 games played

Straight up

5-8

38% wins

Against the spread

6-7

46% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-8

38% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-838%

L L W L W L L L L L W W W

3 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-746%

L L W L W L L W L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

5-838%

O O U U O O U U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsIDHO	L 81-83	-7.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 164
Nov 7	@DAV	L 69-85	+4.5	L −11.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 10	vsSTMN	W 81-71	-2.5	W +7.5	157.5	U 152
Nov 14	vsWASH	L 69-81	+8.5	L −3.5	158.5	U 150
Nov 19	vsSUU	W 98-74	-12.5	W +11.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 25	vsASU	L 94-100	+4.5	L −1.5	157.5	O 194
Nov 26	vsHALL	L 61-75	+8.5	L −5.5	147.5	U 136
Dec 2	@BRAD	L 60-64	+5.5	W +1.5	148.5	U 124
Dec 7	vsNEV	L 64-78	-2.5	L −16.5	145.5	U 142
Dec 14	@USC	L 61-68	+12.5	W +5.5	156.5	U 129
Dec 17	vsEWU	W 78-63	-6.5	W +8.5	153.5	U 141
Dec 20	vsMER	W 84-78	-7.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 162
Dec 28	@PORT	W 67-62	-3.5	W +1.5	152.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

−9.5

DAV

L 69-85

−11.5

STMN

W 81-71

+7.5

WASH

L 69-81

−3.5

SUU

W 98-74

+11.5

ASU

L 94-100

−1.5

HALL

L 61-75

−5.5

BRAD

L 60-64

+1.5

NEV

L 64-78

−16.5

USC

L 61-68

+5.5

EWU

W 78-63

+8.5

MER

W 84-78

−1.5

PORT

W 67-62

+1.5

covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

+9.5

DAV

L 69-85

+0.5

STMN

W 81-71

−5.5

WASH

L 69-81

−8.5

SUU

W 98-74

+14.5

ASU

L 94-100

+36.5

HALL

L 61-75

−11.5

BRAD

L 60-64

−24.5

NEV

L 64-78

−3.5

USC

L 61-68

−27.5

EWU

W 78-63

−12.5

MER

W 84-78

+10.5

PORT

W 67-62

−23.5

over 5under 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seattle U

12 games played

Straight up

9-3

75% wins

Against the spread

4-8

33% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-6

50% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-375%

W L W W W W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-833%

L L W L W W L L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-650%

O U O O U U O O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsDEN	W 84-73	-13.5	L −2.5	136.5	O 157
Nov 8	vsCP	L 71-73	-10.5	L −12.5	164.5	U 144
Nov 12	vsEWU	W 94-67	-8.5	W +18.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 15	vsIDST	W 83-74	-11.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 157
Nov 21	@STAN	W 77-69	+10.5	W +18.5	152.5	U 146
Nov 28	vsTXST	W 66-52	-7.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 118
Nov 29	vsUCSB	L 71-74	-2.5	L −5.5	142.5	O 145
Dec 7	vsUTEP	W 75-68	-12.5	L −5.5	136.5	O 143
Dec 17	@UCD	W 79-78	-2.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 157
Dec 19	vsWASH	W 70-66	+7.5	W +11.5	151.5	U 136
Dec 22	@UTSA	W 71-68	-10.5	L −7.5	148.5	U 139
Dec 28	vsSF	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	146.5	U 126

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

−2.5

L 71-73

−12.5

EWU

W 94-67

+18.5

IDST

W 83-74

−2.5

STAN

W 77-69

+18.5

TXST

W 66-52

+6.5

UCSB

L 71-74

−5.5

UTEP

W 75-68

−5.5

UCD

W 79-78

−1.5

WASH

W 70-66

+11.5

UTSA

W 71-68

−7.5

L 59-67

−10.5

covered 4didn’t cover 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEN

W 84-73

+20.5

L 71-73

−20.5

EWU

W 94-67

+12.5

IDST

W 83-74

+18.5

STAN

W 77-69

−6.5

TXST

W 66-52

−18.5

UCSB

L 71-74

+2.5

UTEP

W 75-68

+6.5

UCD

W 79-78

+13.5

WASH

W 70-66

−15.5

UTSA

W 71-68

−9.5

L 59-67

−20.5

over 6under 6avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Washington State Cougars at Seattle U Redhawks

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Washington St

Seattle U

Washington St

Seattle U