Seton Hall Pirates vs Washington State Cougars: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 26, 5:30 PM ETLahaina Civic Center · Neutral site

#67HALLSeton Hall75▲ winner

Final

Closing lineHALL -8.5✓ HALL covered by 5.5

Closing total147.5Under by 11.5

Season records: Seton Hall and Washington St
HALL	This season	WSU
6-1	Record	2-4
4-3	ATS	2-4
3-4	O/U	4-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: HALL 79–70 WSU · ✓ HALL (77%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
HALL	37	38	75
WSU	27	34	61

1st half: HALL 37, WSU 27 (HALL by 10). The model had HALL by 5.3 and a total of 69.6 (actual 64).

Team stats

HALL		WSU
30-53 57%	Field goals	22-53 42%
4-11 36%	3-pointers	5-24 21%
11-13 85%	Free throws	12-16 75%
28 7 off	Rebounds	26 9 off
19	Assists	14
9	Steals	6
4	Blocks	2
14	Turnovers	15
18	Fouls	16
50	Points in paint	28
12	Fast-break points	7

Players

HALL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Mike Williams III G	32	13	2	5	4-11	1-5
AJ Staton-McCray G	28	20	4	2	8-14	3-6
Elijah Fisher G	28	6	1	1	3-6	0-0
Adam Clark G	24	2	2	7	1-2	0-0
Stephon Payne F	23	11	7	1	5-8	0-0
Bench
Tajuan Simpkins G	23	11	4	1	4-5	0-0
Trey Parker G	14	0	1	2	0-2	0-0
Na'jai Hines C	12	6	1	0	3-3	0-0
Jacob Dar G	12	6	3	0	2-2	0-0
Joshua Rivera F	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Patrick Suemnick, Assane Mbaye, Godswill Erheriene, David Gabriel, Jahseem Felton

WSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ace Glass G	28	15	2	3	6-11	1-4
Eemeli Yalaho F	24	7	1	1	2-3	1-2
ND Okafor C	22	12	4	1	6-9	0-0
Jerone Morton G	13	0	0	2	0-0	0-0
Tomas Thrastarson F	12	1	2	0	0-1	0-1
Bench
Rihards Vavers F	25	17	6	0	6-13	3-8
Simon Hildebrandt F	22	3	1	2	1-6	0-4
Parker Gerrits G	22	0	4	2	0-3	0-3
Adria Rodriguez G	17	1	4	3	0-2	0-0
Emmanuel Ugbo F	15	5	1	0	1-5	0-2

Did not play: Kase Wynott, Brunel Madzou, Dio Blakely, Dominik Robinson

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HALL -8.5	HALL -8.5	—	HALL covered
Total	147.5	148.6	Over 1.1	L Under
Projected score	—	HALL 78.5 · WSU 70

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HALL -5.3	HALL -10.0
1H total	69.6	64
1H projected score	HALL 37.5 · WSU 32.2	HALL 37 · WSU 27

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
HALL WLLWW	4-3	57%	2-0	2-3
WSU LWLWL	2-4	33%	0-1	0-3

Venue/role: HALL neutral site, as favorite; WSU neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
HALL OUUOO	3-4	43%	6-1
WSU OUUOO	4-2	67%	2-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HALLlast 7	6-1 86%	4-3 57%	3-4 43%
WSUlast 6	2-4 33%	2-4 33%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Seton Hall

7 games played

Straight up

6-1

86% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-186%

W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-357%

W L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-443%

U U O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsUSC	L 81-83	+6.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

USC

L 81-83

+4.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

USC

L 81-83

+18.5

over 3under 4avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Washington St

6 games played

Straight up

2-4

33% wins

Against the spread

2-4

33% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-433%

L L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-433%

L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-267%

O O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsIDHO	L 81-83	-7.5	L −9.5	154.5	O 164
Nov 7	@DAV	L 69-85	+4.5	L −11.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 10	vsSTMN	W 81-71	-2.5	W +7.5	157.5	U 152
Nov 14	vsWASH	L 69-81	+8.5	L −3.5	158.5	U 150
Nov 19	vsSUU	W 98-74	-12.5	W +11.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 25	vsASU	L 94-100	+4.5	L −1.5	157.5	O 194

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

−9.5

DAV

L 69-85

−11.5

STMN

W 81-71

+7.5

WASH

L 69-81

−3.5

SUU

W 98-74

+11.5

ASU

L 94-100

−1.5

covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

IDHO

L 81-83

+9.5

DAV

L 69-85

+0.5

STMN

W 81-71

−5.5

WASH

L 69-81

−8.5

SUU

W 98-74

+14.5

ASU

L 94-100

+36.5

over 4under 2avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Seton Hall vs Washington St

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Seton Hall

Washington St

Seton Hall

Washington St