Seton Hall Pirates vs USC Trojans: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 5:24 PM ETLahaina Civic Center · Neutral site

Final

#36USCUSC83▲ winner

Closing lineUSC -6.5✓ HALL covered by 4.5

Closing total145.5Over by 18.5

Season records: Seton Hall and USC
HALL	This season	USC
6-0	Record	5-0
3-3	ATS	3-2
2-4	O/U	2-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: HALL 74–78 USC · ✓ USC (63%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
HALL	42	39	81
USC	38	45	83

1st half: HALL 42, USC 38 (HALL by 4). The model had USC by 2.1 and a total of 71.5 (actual 80).

Team stats

HALL		USC
32-57 56%	Field goals	23-46 50%
5-15 33%	3-pointers	6-12 50%
12-18 67%	Free throws	31-38 82%
21 5 off	Rebounds	35 11 off
15	Assists	9
12	Steals	4
4	Blocks	4
9	Turnovers	16
28	Fouls	19
36	Points in paint	30
22	Fast-break points	6

Players

HALL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Adam Clark G	36	18	2	7	8-14	0-2
AJ Staton-McCray G	33	17	2	2	6-11	3-6
Elijah Fisher G	28	10	1	0	4-7	0-1
Stephon Payne F	23	4	5	1	2-3	0-0
Mike Williams III G	16	13	0	0	3-6	1-4
Bench
Tajuan Simpkins G	27	8	3	1	4-7	0-1
Na'jai Hines C	17	6	5	2	3-7	0-0
Jacob Dar G	9	0	0	2	0-0	0-0
Trey Parker G	8	5	0	0	2-2	1-1
Joshua Rivera F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Assane Mbaye, David Gabriel, Godswill Erheriene, Jahseem Felton, Patrick Suemnick

USC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ezra Ausar F	38	25	8	0	5-10	0-0
Jacob Cofie F	33	7	11	3	3-9	0-2
Chad Baker-Mazara G	28	18	0	2	5-10	2-4
Terrance Williams II F	23	2	2	0	0-0	0-0
Rodney Rice G	20	13	0	2	5-10	3-5
Bench
Amarion Dickerson F	35	7	9	0	2-2	1-1
Jordan Marsh G	12	7	1	0	1-3	0-0
Jerry Easter II G	5	2	1	1	1-1	0-0
Gabe Dynes C	4	2	0	1	1-1	0-0
Jaden Brownell F	2	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Jonah Goorin, EJ Neal Jr., Alijah Arenas, Ryan Cornish

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	USC -6.5	USC -3.8	HALL +2.7	W HALL covered
Total	145.5	152.5	Over 7.0	W Over
Projected score	—	HALL 74.4 · USC 78.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	USC -2.1	HALL -4.0
1H total	71.5	80
1H projected score	HALL 34.7 · USC 36.8	HALL 42 · USC 38

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
HALL LWLLW	3-3	50%	1-0	1-0
USC WWWLL	3-2	60%	1-1	3-2

Venue/role: HALL neutral site, as underdog; USC neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
HALL UOUUO	2-4	33%	6-0
USC UOUOU	2-3	40%	5-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HALLlast 6	6-0 100%	3-3 50%	2-4 33%
USClast 5	5-0 100%	3-2 60%	2-3 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

HALL 0–1 USCUSC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · HALL 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 23, 2023-24	HALL 63 vs USC 71	USC -4.5	USC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Seton Hall

6 games played

Straight up

6-0

100% wins

Against the spread

3-3

50% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-4

33% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-0100%

W W W W W W

6 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-350%

W L W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-433%

U U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

over 2under 4avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

USC

5 games played

Straight up

5-0

100% wins

Against the spread

3-2

60% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-3

40% overs · avg +13.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-0100%

W W W W W

5 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-260%

W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-340%

U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCP	W 94-64	-24.5	W +5.5	163.5	U 158
Nov 9	vsMAN	W 114-83	-28.5	W +2.5	155.5	O 197
Nov 14	vsILST	W 87-67	-15.5	W +4.5	155.5	U 154
Nov 20	vsTROY	W 107-106	-18.5	L −17.5	159.5	O 213
Nov 24	vsBOIS	W 70-67	-3.5	L −0.5	155.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W 94-64

+5.5

MAN

W 114-83

+2.5

ILST

W 87-67

+4.5

TROY

W 107-106

−17.5

BOIS

W 70-67

−0.5

covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W 94-64

−5.5

MAN

W 114-83

+41.5

ILST

W 87-67

−1.5

TROY

W 107-106

+53.5

BOIS

W 70-67

−18.5

over 2under 3avg +13.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Seton Hall Pirates vs USC Trojans

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Seton Hall

USC

Seton Hall

USC