Galen Center · at USC
Closing line
USC -24.5✓ USC covered by 5.5
USC -24.5✓ USC covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Under by 5.5
 CP | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 68–91 USC · ✓ USC (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| USC | 37 | 57 | 94 |
1st half: CP 31, USC 37 (USC by 6). The model had USC by 13.6 and a total of 74.1 (actual 68).
Team stats
| CP | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-72 33% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 27-40 68% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 24 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 11 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 30 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-18 | 2-6 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Cayden Ward G | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Davis G | 26 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Austin Goode F | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ali Assran F | 18 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jason Scott G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Kieran Elliott, Eric Brown, Jackson Mosley, Luka Tarlac
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Rice G | 34 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 5-14 | 4-10 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 27 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 9-12 | 1-1 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 23 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 23 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amarion Dickerson F | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Marsh G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Neal Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Jonah Goorin, Alijah Arenas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -23.5
1 → USC
CloseUSC -24.5
1 pt toward USC
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CP +3000 · USC -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -23.5 · closed USC -24.5 · moved 1 toward USCmodel USC -22.5
model USC -22.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USC -24.5 | USC -22.5 | CP +2.0 | L USC covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 158.5 | Under 5.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CP 68 · USC 90.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USC -13.6 | USC -6.0 |
| 1H total | 74.1 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | CP 30.3 · USC 43.8 | CP 31 · USC 37 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| USC | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
34 games played
Straight up
15-19
44% wins
Against the spread
18-16
53% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-12
65% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ SF | L 78-86 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | @ CAL | L 73-91 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 14 | vs SEA | W 75-71 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 17 | @ EWU | W 82-78 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 20 | @ ASU | L 89-93 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 23 | @ SMC | L 66-80 | +20.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 26 | vs GRAM | W 82-79 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 30 | @ STAN | W 97-90 | +15.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 5 | @ UCD | L 66-77 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 7 | vs CSUN | L 91-102 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 14 | @ SJSU | L 100-107 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 17 | vs DEN | W 95-94 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 160.5 | O 189 |
| Dec 21 | @ OMA | L 82-86 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 2 | vs UCI | L 89-98 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 4 | @ HAW | L 55-68 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 9 | @ UCSD | L 68-95 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs UCSB | L 72-75 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vsUCD | L 54-65 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 18 | @UCI | L 71-101 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 25 | vs LBSU | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ CSUB | W 90-81 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 1 | @ UCR | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | vsHAW | W 79-63 | +1.5 | W +17.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 13 | @ CSUF | W 98-83 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 15 | @CSUN | L 85-89 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 171.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 20 | vsUCSD | L 67-81 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 22 | vsUCR | W 112-100 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 212 |
| Feb 27 | @UCSB | L 77-96 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 1 | vsCSUB | W 98-72 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 6 | vsCSUF | W 100-61 | -14.5 | W +24.5 | 164.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 8 | @LBSU | W 83-69 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Mar 12 | vsUCD | W 86-76 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 13 | vsUCR | W 96-83 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 164.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 14 | vsUCI | L 78-96 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@SF
SFL 78-86
+12.5
7
@CAL
CALL 73-91
−3.5
14
vsSEA
SEAW 75-71
+8.5
17
@EWU
EWUW 82-78
+8.5
20
@ASU
ASUL 89-93
+12.5
23
@SMC
SMCL 66-80
+6.5
26
vsGRAM
GRAMW 82-79
−2.5
30
@STAN
STANW 97-90
+22.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 66-77
−8.5
7
vsCSUN
CSUNL 91-102
−8.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUL 100-107
−1.5
17
vsDEN
DENW 95-94
−9.5
21
@OMA
OMAL 82-86
−5.5
2
vsUCI
UCIL 89-98
−1.5
4
@HAW
HAWL 55-68
−7.5
9
@UCSD
UCSDL 68-95
−12.5
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 72-75
+1.5
16
vsUCD
UCDL 54-65
−16.5
18
@UCI
UCIL 71-101
−15.5
25
vsLBSU
LBSUW 78-69
+2.5
30
@CSUB
CSUBW 90-81
+12.5
1
@UCR
UCRL 62-80
−10.5
6
vsHAW
HAWW 79-63
+17.5
13
@CSUF
CSUFW 98-83
+9.5
15
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-89
+5.5
20
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-81
−1.5
22
vsUCR
UCRW 112-100
+13.5
27
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-96
−12.5
1
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-72
+22.5
6
vsCSUF
CSUFW 100-61
+24.5
8
@LBSU
LBSUW 83-69
+10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 86-76
+8.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 96-83
+17.5
14
vsUCI
UCIL 78-96
−7.5
covered 18didn’t cover 16avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@SF
SFL 78-86
+10.5
7
@CAL
CALL 73-91
+4.5
14
vsSEA
SEAW 75-71
−6.5
17
@EWU
EWUW 82-78
+1.5
20
@ASU
ASUL 89-93
+27.5
23
@SMC
SMCL 66-80
−2.5
26
vsGRAM
GRAMW 82-79
+9.5
30
@STAN
STANW 97-90
+32.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 66-77
−15.5
7
vsCSUN
CSUNL 91-102
+33.5
14
@SJSU
SJSUL 100-107
+52.5
17
vsDEN
DENW 95-94
+28.5
21
@OMA
OMAL 82-86
+7.5
2
vsUCI
UCIL 89-98
+27.5
4
@HAW
HAWL 55-68
−30.5
9
@UCSD
UCSDL 68-95
+3.5
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 72-75
−10.5
16
vsUCD
UCDL 54-65
−36.5
18
@UCI
UCIL 71-101
+17.5
25
vsLBSU
LBSUW 78-69
−5.5
30
@CSUB
CSUBW 90-81
+14.5
1
@UCR
UCRL 62-80
−16.5
6
vsHAW
HAWW 79-63
−10.5
13
@CSUF
CSUFW 98-83
+22.5
15
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-89
+2.5
20
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-81
−12.5
22
vsUCR
UCRW 112-100
+48.5
27
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-96
+14.5
1
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-72
+8.5
6
vsCSUF
CSUFW 100-61
−3.5
8
@LBSU
LBSUW 83-69
−5.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 86-76
+12.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 96-83
+14.5
14
vsUCI
UCIL 78-96
+12.5
over 22under 12avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
35 games played
Straight up
17-18
49% wins
Against the spread
16-19
46% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
24-11
69% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTC | W 77-51 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | W 75-69 | -22.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | vs UTA | W 98-95 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 17 | vsCAL | L 66-71 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vsSJSU | W 82-68 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vsGRAM | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vsSMC | L 36-71 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 140.5 | U 107 |
| Nov 29 | vs UNM | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 4 | vs ORE | L 60-68 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | @ WASH | W 85-61 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 15 | vs MTST | W 89-63 | -9.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 18 | vsCSUN | W 90-69 | -12.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 22 | vs SOU | W 82-51 | -15.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 4 | vs MICH | L 74-85 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 8 | @ IU | L 69-82 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 11 | @ ILL | W 82-72 | +13.5 | W +23.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 99-89 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 18 | vs WIS | L 69-84 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 22 | @ NEB | W 78-73 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs UCLA | L 76-82 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 1 | vs MSU | W 70-64 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 4 | @ NU | L 75-77 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @ PUR | L 72-90 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | vs PSU | W 92-67 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 15 | vs MINN | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 20 | @ MD | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 23 | @ RUTG | L 85-95 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 26 | vs OSU | L 82-87 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 1 | @ORE | L 61-82 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 5 | vsWASH | W 92-61 | -6.5 | W +24.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 8 | @UCLA | L 63-90 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 12 | vsRUTG | W 97-89 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 186 |
| Mar 13 | vsPUR | L 71-76 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Apr 1 | vs TULN | W 89-60 | -7.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Apr 3 | vs VILL | L 59-60 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTC
UTCW 77-51
+10.5
7
vsIDST
IDSTW 75-69
−16.5
13
vsUTA
UTAW 98-95
−13.5
17
vsCAL
CALL 66-71
−11.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-68
−3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 80-69
−11.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 36-71
−29.5
29
vsUNM
UNML 73-83
−4.5
4
vsORE
OREL 60-68
−1.5
7
@WASH
WASHW 85-61
+28.5
15
vsMTST
MTSTW 89-63
+16.5
18
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-69
+8.5
22
vsSOU
SOUW 82-51
+15.5
4
vsMICH
MICHL 74-85
−5.5
8
@IU
IUL 69-82
−6.5
11
@ILL
ILLW 82-72
+23.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 99-89
+7.5
18
vsWIS
WISL 69-84
−16.5
22
@NEB
NEBW 78-73
+11.5
27
vsUCLA
UCLAL 76-82
−4.5
1
vsMSU
MSUW 70-64
+9.5
4
@NU
NUL 75-77
+0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 72-90
−4.5
11
vsPSU
PSUW 92-67
+20.5
15
vsMINN
MINNL 66-69
−10.5
20
@MD
MDL 71-88
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-95
−6.5
26
vsOSU
OSUL 82-87
−3.5
1
@ORE
OREL 61-82
−13.5
5
vsWASH
WASHW 92-61
+24.5
8
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-90
−17.5
12
vsRUTG
RUTGW 97-89
+6.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 71-76
+5.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 89-60
+21.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 59-60
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 19avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTC
UTCW 77-51
−27.5
7
vsIDST
IDSTW 75-69
+6.5
13
vsUTA
UTAW 98-95
+38.5
17
vsCAL
CALL 66-71
−16.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-68
+8.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 80-69
+9.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 36-71
−33.5
29
vsUNM
UNML 73-83
+2.5
4
vsORE
OREL 60-68
−20.5
7
@WASH
WASHW 85-61
+4.5
15
vsMTST
MTSTW 89-63
+8.5
18
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-69
+7.5
22
vsSOU
SOUW 82-51
−11.5
4
vsMICH
MICHL 74-85
+7.5
8
@IU
IUL 69-82
+1.5
11
@ILL
ILLW 82-72
+0.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 99-89
+26.5
18
vsWIS
WISL 69-84
+1.5
22
@NEB
NEBW 78-73
+7.5
27
vsUCLA
UCLAL 76-82
+19.5
1
vsMSU
MSUW 70-64
−16.5
4
@NU
NUL 75-77
+14.5
7
@PUR
PURL 72-90
+16.5
11
vsPSU
PSUW 92-67
+8.5
15
vsMINN
MINNL 66-69
−5.5
20
@MD
MDL 71-88
+4.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-95
+28.5
26
vsOSU
OSUL 82-87
+18.5
1
@ORE
OREL 61-82
−7.5
5
vsWASH
WASHW 92-61
+4.5
8
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-90
+10.5
12
vsRUTG
RUTGW 97-89
+33.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 71-76
−3.5
1
vsTULN
TULNW 89-60
−9.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 59-60
−31.5
over 24under 11avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
USC
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.