Galen Center · at USC
Closing line
USC -12.5✓ WSU covered by 5.5
USC -12.5✓ WSU covered by 5.5Closing total156.5Under by 27.5
 WSU | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 9-1 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WSU 76–90 USC · ✓ USC (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 26 | 35 | 61 |
| USC | 33 | 35 | 68 |
1st half: WSU 26, USC 33 (USC by 7). The model had USC by 8.5 and a total of 77.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| WSU | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 20-50 40% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 1-13 8% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 27-34 79% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 35 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 29 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Thrastarson F | 32 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Eemeli Yalaho F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Rihards Vavers F | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| ND Okafor C | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jerone Morton G | 21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Glass G | 23 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Adria Rodriguez G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo F | 18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Simon Hildebrandt F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Parker Gerrits G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kase Wynott, Dominik Robinson, Dio Blakely, Brunel Madzou
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Ausar F | 38 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 35 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 4-13 | 0-5 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, Rodney Rice, EJ Neal Jr., Alijah Arenas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSC -12.5
ModelUSC -14.4
Model edgeUSC +1.9
L WSU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model165.9
Model edgeOver 9.4
L Under
Projected score
WSU 75.7 · USC 90.1
WSU 61 · USC 68
Win probability
USC 90%
1st half
Spread
USC -8.5
USC -7.0
Total
77.6
59 points
Projected score
WSU 34.5 · USC 43.1
WSU 26 · USC 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -14.5
2 → WSU
CloseUSC -12.5
2 pts toward WSU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 4
Close156.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
WSU +700 · USC -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -14.5 · closed USC -12.5 · moved 2 toward WSUmodel USC -14.5
model USC -14.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 downmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSUlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
| USC | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WSU 3–3 USCSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · WSU has won the last 2 meetings · WSU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | USC 72 @ WSU 75 | WSU -8.5 | USC W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | WSU 72 @ USC 64 | USC -5.5 | WSU W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | WSU 70 @ USC 80 | USC -7.5 | USC W |
| Jan 1, 2022-23 | USC 71 @ WSU 81 | WSU -1.5 | WSU W |
| Feb 20, 2021-22 | WSU 60 @ USC 62 | USC -7 | WSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington St
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IDHO | L 81-83 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | @ DAV | L 69-85 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 10 | vs STMN | W 81-71 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 14 | vs WASH | L 69-81 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 19 | vs SUU | W 98-74 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs ASU | L 94-100 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs HALL | L 61-75 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRAD | L 60-64 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 7 | vs NEV | L 64-78 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-83
−9.5
7
@DAV
DAVL 69-85
−11.5
10
vsSTMN
STMNW 81-71
+7.5
14
vsWASH
WASHL 69-81
−3.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 98-74
+11.5
25
vsASU
ASUL 94-100
−1.5
26
vsHALL
HALLL 61-75
−5.5
2
@BRAD
BRADL 60-64
+1.5
7
vsNEV
NEVL 64-78
−16.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-83
+9.5
7
@DAV
DAVL 69-85
+0.5
10
vsSTMN
STMNW 81-71
−5.5
14
vsWASH
WASHL 69-81
−8.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 98-74
+14.5
25
vsASU
ASUL 94-100
+36.5
26
vsHALL
HALLL 61-75
−11.5
2
@BRAD
BRADL 60-64
−24.5
7
vsNEV
NEVL 64-78
−3.5
over 4under 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +11.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vsHALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vsASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
over 7under 3avg +11.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington St
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nevada64–78
- L@ Bradley60–64
- Lvs Seton Hall61–75
- Lvs Arizona St94–100
- Wvs Southern Utah98–74
A week or more of rest.
USC
9-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San Diego94–81
- Lvs Washington76–84
- W@ Oregon82–77
- Wvs Arizona St88–75
- Wvs Seton Hall83–81
5 days since their last game.