Lee & Penny Anderson Arena · at St Thomas · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -11.5✓ DEN covered by 7.5
STMN -11.5✓ DEN covered by 7.5Closing total163.5Over by 16.5
 DEN | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 8-4 |
| 9-4 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 13-0 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 75–86 STMN · ✓ STMN (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 37 | 51 | 88 |
| STMN | 43 | 49 | 92 |
1st half: DEN 37, STMN 43 (STMN by 6). The model had STMN by 6.0 and a total of 75.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| DEN | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 31-67 46% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 13-33 39% |
| 26-30 87% | Free throws | 17-29 59% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 12 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Nelson G | 39 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 4-12 | 3-6 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 31 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Carson Johnson G | 29 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julius Rollins G | 27 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Corleone Dandridge G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Lee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Didier Maleng, Loch Cunningham, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12-22 | 3-8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 34 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-10 |
| Austin Herro G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 28 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 22 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1-11 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 20 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Ryan Lafferty, Tim Franks, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer, Hayden Tibbits, Tommy Humphries Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -10.5
1 → STMN
CloseSTMN -11.5
1 pt toward STMN
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +525 · STMN -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -10.5 · closed STMN -11.5 · moved 1 toward STMNmodel STMN -10.5
model STMN -10.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STMN -11.5 | STMN -10.3 | DEN +1.2 | W DEN covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 161.0 | Under 2.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DEN 75.4 · STMN 85.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STMN -6.0 | STMN -6.0 |
| 1H total | 75.4 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 34.7 · STMN 40.7 | DEN 37 · STMN 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 10-0 100% |
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DEN 3–6 STMNSTMN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 4 meetings · DEN 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | DEN 62 vs STMN 80 | STMN -10.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | STMN 79 @ DEN 76 | DEN +9.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | DEN 62 @ STMN 74 | STMN -15.5 | DEN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | DEN 58 @ STMN 83 | STMN -8.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | STMN 77 @ DEN 94 | DEN +2.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-0
100% overs · avg +14.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs KC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
over 13under 0avg +14.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vsUNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vsCSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
over 6under 6avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
5-8 overall · 1-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas City87–74
- L@ Tulsa85–90
- W@ N Colorado86–79
- Lvs Fullerton86–105
- L@ Idaho St79–93
4 days since their last game.
St Thomas
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Riverside92–78
- W@ UNC Asheville80–59
- Wvs Weber St88–65
- L@ Montana St74–82
- W@ Portland76–66
A week or more of rest.