Lee & Penny Anderson Arena · at St Thomas
Closing line
STMN -14.5✓ UCR covered by 0.5
STMN -14.5✓ UCR covered by 0.5Closing total152.5Over by 17.5
 UCR | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 7-4 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCR 71–80 STMN · ✓ STMN (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| STMN | 41 | 51 | 92 |
1st half: UCR 38, STMN 41 (STMN by 3). The model had STMN by 5.5 and a total of 70.4 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UCR | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 34-56 61% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 15-16 94% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 24 2 off |
| 20 | Assists | 22 |
| 1 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osiris Grady F | 37 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 8-15 | 2-5 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. G | 37 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 35 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Andrew Henderson G | 34 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| BJ Kolly F | 33 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| EJ Spillman G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Jones G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Strauss, Dylan Godfrey, Denzel Hines, Daniel Tobiloba, Ben Waller, Amaury McKinney, Gavin Haase
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale G | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 9-15 | 1-3 |
| Nick Janowski G | 29 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 26 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 8-10 | 5-7 |
| Austin Herro G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 22 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Tauer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tim Franks G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Counts F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Adam Tauer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Lafferty, Tommy Humphries Jr., Luka Momcilovic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -13.5
1 → STMN
CloseSTMN -14.5
1 pt toward STMN
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCR +850 · STMN -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -13.5 · closed STMN -14.5 · moved 1 toward STMNmodel STMN -9.5
model STMN -9.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STMN -14.5 | STMN -9.3 | UCR +5.2 | W UCR covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 150.3 | Under 2.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UCR 70.5 · STMN 79.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STMN -5.5 | STMN -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | UCR 32.4 · STMN 37.9 | UCR 38 · STMN 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCR 1–0 STMNUCR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCR 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | STMN 79 @ UCR 81 | UCR -1.5 | UCR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Riverside
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
over 6under 4avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
over 5under 6avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Riverside
4-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ BYU53–100
- W@ Cal Poly88–84
- L@ UC Irvine60–73
- L@ Utah Tech69–77
- Wvs Grambling83–74
A week or more of rest.
St Thomas
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNC Asheville80–59
- Wvs Weber St88–65
- L@ Montana St74–82
- W@ Portland76–66
- Lvs Fullerton80–88
A week or more of rest.