Memorial Coliseum (IN) · at Purdue FW · Conference game
Closing line
PFW -11.5✓ CLE covered by 8.5
PFW -11.5✓ CLE covered by 8.5Closing total159.5Under by 14.5
 CLE | This season | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| 2-10 | Record | 5-8 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLE 75–85 PFW · ✓ PFW (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 43 | 28 | 71 |
| PFW | 32 | 42 | 74 |
1st half: CLE 43, PFW 32 (CLE by 11). The model had PFW by 5.6 and a total of 74.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| CLE | PFW | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 16-42 38% | 3-pointers | 11-37 30% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Beard G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4-15 | 3-11 |
| Preist Ryan F | 31 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 28 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Josiah Harris F | 27 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Dayan Nessah G | 26 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Foster Wonders G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Chevalier Emery G | 21 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevo St. Hilaire, Ivan Spirov, Lucas Burton, Waqo Tessema, David Giddens, Manny Hill, Kamari Jones
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-11 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-13 | 3-9 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 31 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Duffy F | 27 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Chris Morgan G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Yuval Levin F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| EJ Mosley G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quentin Morgan, Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Mason Shrout, Ebrahim Kaba
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPFW -11.5
ModelPFW -9.5
Model edgeCLE +2.0
W CLE covered
Total
Market159.5
Model159.5
Model edge—
Under
Projected score
CLE 75 · PFW 84.5
CLE 71 · PFW 74
Win probability
PFW 80%
1st half
Spread
PFW -5.6
CLE -11.0
Total
74.7
75 points
Projected score
CLE 34.5 · PFW 40.1
CLE 43 · PFW 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPFW -10.5
1 → PFW
ClosePFW -11.5
1 pt toward PFW
Total
Open157.5
▲ 2
Close159.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CLE +440 · PFW -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PFW -10.5 · closed PFW -11.5 · moved 1 toward PFWmodel PFW -9.5
model PFW -9.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159.5 matches the line
model 159.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| PFW | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CLE 8–1 PFWCLE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CLE has won the last 6 meetings · CLE 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | PFW 57 @ CLE 68 | CLE -2.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | CLE 68 @ PFW 58 | PFW -4.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | CLE 75 @ PFW 72 | PFW -3.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | PFW 68 @ CLE 75 | CLE -4.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 27, 2022-23 | PFW 74 @ CLE 79 | CLE -3.5 | CLE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cleveland St
12 games played
Straight up
2-10
17% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 10 | @ NU | L 63-110 | +23.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs KENT | L 95-102 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | W 87-82 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs VAL | L 75-90 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 22 | @KENT | L 71-91 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 28 | @ MIZ | L 59-86 | +31.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 3 | @ NKU | L 80-95 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | vs DETM | L 59-71 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 17 | @ UAB | L 77-101 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | vs MILW | L 71-81 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs IUIN | W 99-86 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
+4.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
−0.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−13.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
−5.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−3.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
−25.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
+16.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−28.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
+21.5
21
vsMILW
MILWL 71-81
−8.5
29
vsIUIN
IUINW 99-86
+12.5
over 8under 4avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue FW
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vsNKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vsDETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs GB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
over 7under 6avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cleveland St
2-10 overall · 1-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy99–86
- Lvs Milwaukee71–81
- L@ UAB77–101
- Lvs Detroit Mercy59–71
- L@ N Kentucky80–95
6 days since their last game.
Purdue FW
5-8 overall · 2-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Green Bay54–72
- L@ Milwaukee55–77
- W@ Notre Dame72–69
- Wvs Detroit Mercy81–77
- Wvs E Michigan80–65
3 days since their last game.