Wolstein Center · at Cleveland St · Conference game
Closing line
MILW -6.5✓ MILW covered by 3.5
MILW -6.5✓ MILW covered by 3.5Closing total160.5Under by 8.5
| MILW | This season | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 1-9 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 84–79 CLE · ✓ MILW (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 35 | 46 | 81 |
| CLE | 37 | 34 | 71 |
1st half: MILW 35, CLE 37 (CLE by 2). The model had MILW by 3.6 and a total of 76.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MILW | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-71 44% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 48 18 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 0 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 40 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dixon G | 35 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 10-19 | 4-10 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 34 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Faizon Fields F | 26 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 16 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson F | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Amar Augillard G | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Stevie Elam, Ned Renfree, Simeon Murchison
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Beard G | 34 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 3-13 | 3-8 |
| Preist Ryan F | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Dayan Nessah G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chevalier Emery G | 31 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Foster Wonders G | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| David Giddens G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Kevo St. Hilaire F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kamari Jones G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Manny Hill, Waqo Tessema, Lucas Burton, Ivan Spirov, Josiah Harris
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -7.5
1 → CLE
CloseMILW -6.5
1 pt toward CLE
Total
Open161.5
▼ 1
Close160.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MILW -285 · CLE +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -7.5 · closed MILW -6.5 · moved 1 toward CLEmodel MILW -6
model MILW -6
Opened 161.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MILW -6.5 | MILW -5.8 | CLE +0.7 | L MILW covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 162.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MILW 84.3 · CLE 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MILW -3.6 | CLE -2.0 |
| 1H total | 76.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | MILW 39.9 · CLE 36.3 | MILW 35 · CLE 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| CLE | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MILW 5–4 CLEMILW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MILW 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MILW 60 @ CLE 77 | CLE -1.5 | CLE W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | CLE 67 @ MILW 79 | MILW -7.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | MILW 71 @ CLE 68 | CLE -4.5 | MILW W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | CLE 80 @ MILW 88 | MILW -2.5 | MILW W |
| Mar 6, 2022-23 | CLE 93 vs MILW 80 | MILW +2.5 | CLE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
over 6under 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cleveland St
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 10 | @ NU | L 63-110 | +23.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs KENT | L 95-102 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | W 87-82 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs VAL | L 75-90 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 22 | @KENT | L 71-91 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 28 | @ MIZ | L 59-86 | +31.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 3 | @ NKU | L 80-95 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | vs DETM | L 59-71 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 17 | @ UAB | L 77-101 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
+4.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
−0.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−13.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
−5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
−25.5
3
@NKU
NKUL 80-95
+16.5
6
vsDETM
DETML 59-71
−28.5
17
@UAB
UABL 77-101
+21.5
over 7under 3avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
4-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Dakota St88–87
- Lvs Indiana St68–70
- Wvs Robert Morris74–72
- L@ Akron81–105
- L@ Wichita St58–75
2 days since their last game.
Cleveland St
1-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UAB77–101
- Lvs Detroit Mercy59–71
- L@ N Kentucky80–95
- L@ Missouri59–86
- L@ Kent State71–91
4 days since their last game.