James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron
Closing line
AKR -12.5✓ AKR covered by 11.5
AKR -12.5✓ AKR covered by 11.5Closing total166.5Over by 19.5
 MILW | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 77–91 AKR · ✓ AKR (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 39 | 42 | 81 |
| AKR | 52 | 53 | 105 |
1st half: MILW 39, AKR 52 (AKR by 13). The model had AKR by 8.1 and a total of 78.8 (actual 91).
Team stats
| MILW | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-77 38% | Field goals | 39-60 65% |
| 13-38 34% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 37 20 off | Rebounds | 38 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 24 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 34 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 9-14 | 3-4 |
| Seth Hubbard G | 33 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5-15 | 3-7 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 27 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Amar Augillard G | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stevie Elam G | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chandler Jackson F | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Josh Dixon G | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, John Lovelace Jr., Ned Renfree, Faizon Fields, Tate Mackenzie
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 29 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Amani Lyles F | 25 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 9-13 | 4-7 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bowen Hardman G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Sharron Young G | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Chabi Barre F | 13 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Conner Groce G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Halligan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -14.5
2 → MILW
CloseAKR -12.5
2 pts toward MILW
Total
Open168.5
▼ 2
Close166.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +650 · AKR -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -14.5 · closed AKR -12.5 · moved 2 toward MILWmodel AKR -13.5
model AKR -13.5
Opened 168.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -12.5 | AKR -13.7 | AKR +1.2 | W AKR covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 168.5 | Over 2.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MILW 77.4 · AKR 91.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -8.1 | AKR -13.0 |
| 1H total | 78.8 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | MILW 35.4 · AKR 43.5 | MILW 39 · AKR 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILWlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% |
| AKRlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 5-1 83% | 4-2 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MILW 1–0 AKRMILW leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MILW 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024-25 | AKR 81 vs MILW 100 | MILW +0.5 | MILW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@
WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vs
LR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@
IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@
TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@
WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
over 4under 2avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vs
PRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@
PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vs
IONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vs
EVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vs
YALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
over 4under 2avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wichita St58–75
- L@ Texas Tech63–80
- L@ Indiana70–101
- Wvs Little Rock92–72
- L@ Wofford76–86
A week or more of rest.
Akron
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Yale94–97
- Wvs Evansville97–59
- Wvs Iona96–75
- L@ Purdue79–97
- Wvs Princeton104–69
5 days since their last game.