Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -8.5✓ CAL covered by 9.5
CAL -8.5✓ CAL covered by 9.5Closing total153.5Under by 23.5
 COLU | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 10-1 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLU 72–81 CAL · ✓ CAL (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 16 | 40 | 56 |
| CAL | 28 | 46 | 74 |
1st half: COLU 16, CAL 28 (CAL by 12). The model had CAL by 5.3 and a total of 71.3 (actual 44).
Team stats
| COLU | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| COLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Noland G | 34 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2-12 | 1-6 |
| Blair Thompson F | 30 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Mason Ritter F | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Miles Franklin G | 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Soulis F | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Igoe F | 22 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Gerard O'Keefe G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Hampton Sanders G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Richard Nweke F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Edwin Bai, Leland Coleman, Nigel Clarkson, Avery Brown, Nicolo Romanelli, Dan Vessey, Zine Eddine Bedri, Josiah Cunningham
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai Ames G | 34 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| John Camden F | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Chris Bell F | 31 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Lee Dort F | 25 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Justin Pippen G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Semetri Carr G | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Milos Ilic C | 14 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stephon Marbury II, Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Mantas Kocanas, Jovani Ruff, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis, DeJuan Campbell, Sammie Yeanay
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -7.5
1 → CAL
CloseCAL -8.5
1 pt toward CAL
Total
Open149.5
▲ 4
Close153.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
COLU +320 · CAL -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -7.5 · closed CAL -8.5 · moved 1 toward CALmodel CAL -9
model CAL -9
Opened 149.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CAL -8.5 | CAL -9.0 | CAL +0.5 | W CAL covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 152.4 | Under 1.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | COLU 71.7 · CAL 80.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CAL -5.3 | CAL -12.0 |
| 1H total | 71.3 | 44 |
| 1H projected score | COLU 33 · CAL 38.3 | COLU 16 · CAL 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLU | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
| CAL | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Columbia
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +8.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NHVN | W 71-53 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 10 | @ CONN | L 62-89 | +32.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs UML | W 86-72 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs BU | W 54-49 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 21 | @ LEH | W 82-67 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs LONG | W 95-70 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FAIR | W 106-77 | -3.5 | W +25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 3 | vs HOF | W 72-70 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 6 | vs UALB | W 93-65 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 9 | @ STBK | L 73-77 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
+10.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
+5.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+0.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
+0.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+12.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+21.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+25.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−1.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+14.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
−8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
−24.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
−4.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+1.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
−41.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+5.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+11.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+32.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−2.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+13.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
+3.5
over 6under 4avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
over 4under 7avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Columbia
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stony Brook73–77
- Wvs UAlbany93–65
- Wvs Hofstra72–70
- W@ Fairfield106–77
- Wvs Longwood95–70
A week or more of rest.
California
10-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morgan St97–50
- Wvs N'Western St79–70
- Wvs Pacific67–61
- Wvs Utah79–72
- Wvs UCLA80–72
2 days since their last game.