Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State
Closing line
ISU -37.5✓ LBSU covered by 6.5
ISU -37.5✓ LBSU covered by 6.5Closing total149.5Over by 1.5
 LBSU | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-9 | Record | 11-0 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 9-2 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LBSU 59–94 ISU · ✓ ISU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 20 | 40 | 60 |
| ISU | 57 | 34 | 91 |
1st half: LBSU 20, ISU 57 (ISU by 37). The model had ISU by 21.3 and a total of 71.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| LBSU | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 36-65 55% |
| 3-22 14% | 3-pointers | 11-21 52% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 8-18 44% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 45 13 off |
| 6 | Assists | 23 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes G | 34 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 9-19 | 1-8 |
| Petar Majstorovic F | 31 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Cole Farrell G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shaquil Bender G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Rob Diaz III G | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Leopold Levillain F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| JJ Chaikovsky F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Christian Jones G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Grant Gondrezick II, Derrick Michael Xzavierro, Immanuel Lewis, Dallas Washington, Jayden Alexander
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 31 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 29 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Killyan Toure G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Nate Heise G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xzavion Mitchell F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Anthony Rise
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -37.5
ModelISU -35.7
Model edgeLBSU +1.8
W LBSU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model152.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
LBSU 58.6 · ISU 94.3
LBSU 60 · ISU 91
Win probability
ISU 100%
1st half
Spread
ISU -21.3
ISU -37.0
Total
71.6
77 points
Projected score
LBSU 25.1 · ISU 46.5
LBSU 20 · ISU 57
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -36.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -37.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open151.5
▼ 2
Close149.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -36.5 · closed ISU -37.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -35.5
model ISU -35.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 9-1 90% |
| ISU | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Beach St
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +9.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | @ SJSU | L 83-89 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs PEPP | W 81-78 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+1.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+30.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
+17.5
over 9under 2avg +9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
11 games played
Straight up
11-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
over 6under 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Beach St
2-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pepperdine81–78
- L@ San José St83–89
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- L@ Santa Barbara77–84
- Wvs San Diego76–72
3 days since their last game.
Iowa State
11-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Illinois78–53
- Wvs Iowa66–62
- W@ Purdue81–58
- Wvs Alcorn St132–68
- Wvs Syracuse95–64
A week or more of rest.