M&T Bank Center at Gampel Pavilion · at UConn · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -17.5✓ MARQ covered by 1.5
CONN -17.5✓ MARQ covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Under by 14.5
 MARQ | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 13-1 |
| 3-11 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MARQ 64–83 CONN · ✓ CONN (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| CONN | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: MARQ 29, CONN 37 (CONN by 8). The model had CONN by 10.8 and a total of 68.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MARQ | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-62 32% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 49 17 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Stevens G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5-18 | 1-3 |
| Royce Parham F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Chase Ross G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Gold F | 31 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Damarius Owens SF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Clark F | 13 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tre Norman G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nash Walker, Jonah Lucas, Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Casey O'Malley, Sean Jones
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solo Ball G | 31 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Alex Karaban F | 29 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-11 | 0-5 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 27 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-7 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 24 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 21 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malachi Smith G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Eric Reibe C | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alec Millender G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Uros Paunovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rrezon Elezaj, Jayden Ross, Jacob Ross
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -19.5
2 → MARQ
CloseCONN -17.5
2 pts toward MARQ
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MARQ +1100 · CONN -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -19.5 · closed CONN -17.5 · moved 2 toward MARQmodel CONN -18.5
model CONN -18.5
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -17.5 | CONN -18.3 | CONN +0.8 | L MARQ covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 146.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MARQ 64.2 · CONN 82.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CONN -10.8 | CONN -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | MARQ 29 · CONN 39.8 | MARQ 29 · CONN 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 2-8 20% | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% |
| CONN | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MARQ 2–8 CONNCONN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CONN has won the last 5 meetings · MARQ 2-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | MARQ 66 @ CONN 72 | CONN -3.5 | CONN W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CONN 77 @ MARQ 69 | MARQ -6.5 | CONN W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | MARQ 57 vs CONN 73 | CONN -10 | CONN W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | CONN 74 @ MARQ 67 | MARQ +6 | CONN W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MARQ 53 @ CONN 81 | CONN -7.5 | CONN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marquette
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
3-11
21% covers · avg −7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs GTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs HALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 11avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
over 7under 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
14 games played
Straight up
13-1
93% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs BTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ DEP | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ XAV | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
+5.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
−7.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+12.5
over 5under 9avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marquette
5-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Seton Hall73–79
- L@ Creighton63–84
- Lvs Georgetown69–78
- L@ Purdue59–79
- L@ Wisconsin76–96
5 days since their last game.
UConn
13-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Xavier90–67
- W@ DePaul72–54
- Wvs Butler79–60
- Wvs Texas71–63
- Wvs Florida77–73
4 days since their last game.