The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco · Conference game
Closing line
SF -11.5✓ PORT covered by 6.5
SF -11.5✓ PORT covered by 6.5Closing total147.5Under by 6.5
 PORT | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | Record | 9-6 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 68–81 SF · ✓ SF (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| SF | 27 | 46 | 73 |
1st half: PORT 34, SF 27 (PORT by 7). The model had SF by 7.6 and a total of 69.5 (actual 61).
Team stats
| PORT | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 47% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 21-34 62% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 43 20 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 40 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 7-13 | 1-6 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Cameron Williams F | 26 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 8-10 | 2-3 |
| James O'Donnell F | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 28 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 21 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Preston Lee, Marchelo Moreira, Timo George, Riley Parker, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 37 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| David Fuchs F | 21 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Veniamin Abosi F | 29 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Legend Smiley G | 22 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Junjie Wang F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Mookie Cook, Isa Silva
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -11.5
ModelSF -13.0
Model edgeSF +1.5
L PORT covered
Total
Market147.5
Model148.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
L Under
Projected score
PORT 67.7 · SF 80.7
PORT 68 · SF 73
Win probability
SF 87%
1st half
Spread
SF -7.6
PORT -7.0
Total
69.5
61 points
Projected score
PORT 31 · SF 38.6
PORT 34 · SF 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -12.5
1 → PORT
CloseSF -11.5
1 pt toward PORT
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +600 · SF -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -12.5 · closed SF -11.5 · moved 1 toward PORTmodel SF -13
model SF -13
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| SF | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PORT 2–6 SFSF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 5 meetings · PORT 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | PORT 72 @ SF 81 | SF -18.5 | PORT W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | PORT 51 vs SF 72 | SF -15.5 | SF W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | SF 76 @ PORT 64 | PORT +13.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | PORT 69 @ SF 96 | SF -16.5 | SF W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | PORT 89 @ SF 92 | SF -6.5 | PORT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORE | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | @ UCSB | L 61-79 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 28 | vs WSU | L 62-67 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCU | L 85-92 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | @ SMC | L 57-78 | +18.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
−5.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−8.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−1.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+6.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
+8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−7.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−23.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+19.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−11.5
over 7under 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vs USD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
over 6under 9avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
5-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Mary's57–78
- Lvs Santa Clara85–92
- Lvs Washington St62–67
- L@ Santa Barbara61–79
- L@ Oregon69–94
2 days since their last game.
San Francisco
9-6 overall · 2-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego74–64
- L@ Oregon St62–70
- W@ Seattle U67–59
- Wvs Morgan St94–64
- Wvs Loyola Chicago85–71
2 days since their last game.