The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco · Conference game
#146USDSan Diego64final
Final
#161SFSan Francisco74▲ winner
Closing lineSF -12.5✓ USD covered by 2.5
Closing total152.5Under by 14.5
Season records: San Diego and San Francisco
USDThis seasonSF
5-8Record8-6
7-6ATS8-6
6-7O/U6-8

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: USD 68–80 SF · ✓ SF (84%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
USD283664
SF294574

1st half: USD 28, SF 29 (SF by 1). The model had SF by 6.6 and a total of 69.3 (actual 57).

Team stats

USDSF
25-58 43%Field goals27-65 42%
4-22 18%3-pointers7-35 20%
10-12 83%Free throws13-17 76%
25 3 offRebounds42 12 off
10Assists14
7Steals6
1Blocks2
10Turnovers11
18Fouls12
40Points in paint38
13Fast-break points5

Players

USDMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Adrian McIntyre G37161028-110-2
Toneari Lane G345302-131-6
Vuk Boskovic F305542-81-6
Juanse Gorosito G2915314-82-4
Alejandro Aviles F196213-50-0
Bench
Dominique Ford G2013115-70-1
Tim Moore Jr. F103001-40-2
Assane Diop F91100-00-0
Gavin Ripp F70000-20-1
Brandon Benjamin G30010-00-0
Neel Beniwal G20000-00-0

Did not play: Nick Del Bosque, Piotr Winkowski, Josh Hecht, Emmanuel Callas, Kjay Bradley, D'Arrae Goodwin, Boden Grant, Caleb Versher, Ty-Laur Johnson

SFMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Ryan Beasley G3213363-100-7
Tyrone Riley IV G3222319-152-5
David Fuchs F210700-20-1
Guillermo Diaz-Graham F150110-40-3
Vukasin Masic G143211-21-2
Bench
Junjie Wang F27121234-80-4
Veniamin Abosi F225912-81-6
Legend Smiley G1915116-113-6
Aidan Braccia G72001-10-0
Weilun Zhao G60000-10-1
Saba Gigiberia C52301-30-0

Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Mookie Cook, Isa Silva

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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward SF
Total
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
USD +600 · SF -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -11.5 · closed SF -12.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel SF -11.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadSF -12.5SF -11.3USD +1.2W USD covered
Total152.5147.9Under 4.6W Under
Projected score—USD 68.3 · SF 79.6

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadSF -6.6SF -1.0
1H total69.357
1H projected scoreUSD 31.3 · SF 38USD 28 · SF 29

San Diego

5-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga93–99
  • Wvs Pacific66–54
  • L@ Washington56–86
  • W@ UC San Diego82–80
  • Wvs N Arizona78–69

3 days since their last game.

San Francisco

8-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Oregon St62–70
  • W@ Seattle U67–59
  • Wvs Morgan St94–64
  • Wvs Loyola Chicago85–71
  • L@ Saint Louis75–85

3 days since their last game.