LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego
Closing line
UCSD -12.5✓ USD covered by 14.5
UCSD -12.5✓ USD covered by 14.5Closing total156.5Over by 5.5
 USD | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 9-1 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 8-2 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USD 69–84 UCSD · ✗ UCSD (90%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 40 | 42 | 82 |
| UCSD | 31 | 49 | 80 |
1st half: USD 40, UCSD 31 (USD by 9). The model had UCSD by 8.6 and a total of 71.6 (actual 71).
Team stats
| USD | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-67 45% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 12-33 36% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 8-19 | 3-6 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 36 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 29 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 27 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Toneari Lane G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Dominique Ford G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Benjamin G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| D'Arrae Goodwin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Versher, Boden Grant, Kjay Bradley, Piotr Winkowski, Nick Del Bosque, Tim Moore Jr., Josh Hecht, Emmanuel Callas, Neel Beniwal, Assane Diop
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath F | 34 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 32 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Tom Beattie G | 29 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 24 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Vance F | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -12.5
ModelUCSD -14.6
Model edgeUCSD +2.1
L USD covered
Total
Market156.5
Model152.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
L Over
Projected score
USD 69.1 · UCSD 83.7
USD 82 · UCSD 80
Win probability
UCSD 90%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -8.6
USD -9.0
Total
71.6
71 points
Projected score
USD 31.5 · UCSD 40.1
USD 40 · UCSD 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -14.5
2 → USD
CloseUCSD -12.5
2 pts toward USD
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USD +750 · UCSD -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -14.5 · closed UCSD -12.5 · moved 2 toward USDmodel UCSD -14.5
model UCSD -14.5
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USDlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
| UCSD | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USD 1–2 UCSDUCSD leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 2 meetings · USD 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | UCSD 77 @ USD 71 | USD +13.5 | USD W |
| Nov 11, 2023-24 | USD 63 @ UCSD 69 | UCSD -5.5 | UCSD W |
| Dec 12, 2022-23 | UCSD 58 @ USD 84 | USD -5.5 | USD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
over 4under 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +8.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vsIDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
over 6under 4avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego
3-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Arizona78–69
- Lvs USC81–94
- L@ San José St69–86
- L@ Long Beach St72–76
- Lvs CA Baptist61–76
6 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
9-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ LMU67–57
- Wvs Tulane93–67
- W@ Long Beach St80–74
- L@ Nevada70–76
- Wvs Towson87–73
3 days since their last game.