Save Mart Center · at Fresno St
Closing line
FRES -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 6.5
FRES -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Over by 2.5
 UCSD | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 76–71 FRES · ✓ UCSD (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 42 | 36 | 78 |
| FRES | 30 | 43 | 73 |
1st half: UCSD 42, FRES 30 (UCSD by 12). The model had UCSD by 3.1 and a total of 68.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| UCSD | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 12-37 32% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 6-13 46% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 36 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-5 |
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-10 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 28 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 24 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Chaikin G | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Vance F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ryder Elisaldez G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Trap Johnson, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 39 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-10 |
| Zaon Collins G | 34 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Faas G | 30 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jac Mani F | 24 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 8-9 | 2-3 |
| DJ Stickman G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matteo Porto, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Nathan Zulemie, Troy Jenkins, David Douglas Jr., Makhan Diouf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFRES -1.5
ModelUCSD -4.8
Model edgeUCSD +6.3
W UCSD covered
Total
Market148.5
Model146.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
UCSD 75.8 · FRES 71
UCSD 78 · FRES 73
Win probability
UCSD 66%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -3.1
UCSD -12.0
Total
68.7
72 points
Projected score
UCSD 35.9 · FRES 32.8
UCSD 42 · FRES 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -1.5
no move
CloseFRES -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD +110 · FRES -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -1.5 · unchangedmodel UCSD -5
model UCSD -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSDlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| FRESlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
over 0under 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −15 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
over 1under 1avg −15 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hou Christian78–60
4 days since their last game.
Fresno St
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St82–62
- Lvs SC Upstate66–67
4 days since their last game.