LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego
Closing line
UCSD -7.5✓ UCSD covered by 10.5
UCSD -7.5✓ UCSD covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 3.5
 HCU | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HCU 64–79 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 21 | 39 | 60 |
| UCSD | 35 | 43 | 78 |
1st half: HCU 21, UCSD 35 (UCSD by 14). The model had UCSD by 8.5 and a total of 67.0 (actual 56).
Team stats
| HCU | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 5-14 36% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mambourou Mara F | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Trent Johnson F | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Bartley G | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Kylin Green G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 23 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 17 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Obadiah Curtis G | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Demari Williams G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Nehikhare Igiehon F | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ahjany Lee F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Monroe G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Wilson, Elijah Brooks, Brennen Byrd
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 31 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Leo Beath F | 26 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 17 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Chaikin G | 23 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Vance F | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryder Elisaldez G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -7.5
ModelUCSD -14.3
Model edgeUCSD +6.8
W UCSD covered
Total
Market141.5
Model142.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
HCU 64.3 · UCSD 78.6
HCU 60 · UCSD 78
Win probability
UCSD 89%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -8.5
UCSD -14.0
Total
67.0
56 points
Projected score
HCU 29.2 · UCSD 37.7
HCU 21 · UCSD 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -8.5
1 → HCU
CloseUCSD -7.5
1 pt toward HCU
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
HCU +280 · UCSD -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -8.5 · closed UCSD -7.5 · moved 1 toward HCUmodel UCSD -14.5
model UCSD -14.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| UCSD | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hou Christian
30 games played
Straight up
10-20
33% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 59-90 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 13 | @ CREI | L 43-78 | +35.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 22 | vs RICE | L 58-61 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 25 | vs EMU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 130.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 27 | vs NAU | L 71-74 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | L 71-78 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 7 | vs NWST | L 57-64 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 74-68 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ TA&M | L 45-77 | +31.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | @ UNT | L 46-62 | +23.5 | W +7.5 | 128.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 4 | @ LAM | L 61-63 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 6 | @ SFA | W 83-73 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 129.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 11 | vs UIW | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 13 | vs MCN | L 59-75 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 18 | vs RGV | W 66-57 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | vs AMCC | W 76-72 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 25 | @ NOLA | W 86-76 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 27 | @ SELA | W 70-62 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 1 | @UIW | L 64-74 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 3 | @ NICH | L 67-75 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 8 | vsNOLA | W 81-68 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 10 | vsSELA | L 60-69 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 15 | @RGV | L 52-76 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | @AMCC | L 62-68 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 22 | vsLAM | L 58-66 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 24 | vsSFA | W 72-56 | -0.5 | W +15.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 1 | @NWST | L 56-61 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Mar 3 | @ETAM | L 59-63 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 9 | vsAMCC | L 48-62 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TEX
TEXL 59-90
+2.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 43-78
+0.5
22
vsRICE
RICEL 58-61
+8.5
25
vsEMU
EMUL 73-74
+1.5
27
vsNAU
NAUL 71-74
+0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAL 71-78
+5.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-79
+0.5
7
vsNWST
NWSTL 57-64
−3.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 74-68
+9.5
20
@TA&M
TA&ML 45-77
−0.5
22
@UNT
UNTL 46-62
+7.5
4
@LAM
LAML 61-63
+7.5
6
@SFA
SFAW 83-73
+18.5
11
vsUIW
UIWW 81-76
+6.5
13
vsMCN
MCNL 59-75
−1.5
18
vsRGV
RGVW 66-57
+13.5
20
vsAMCC
AMCCW 76-72
+9.5
25
@NOLA
NOLAW 86-76
+8.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 70-62
+14.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 64-74
−6.5
3
@NICH
NICHL 67-75
−0.5
8
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-68
+2.5
10
vsSELA
SELAL 60-69
−10.5
15
@RGV
RGVL 52-76
−19.5
17
@AMCC
AMCCL 62-68
+4.5
22
vsLAM
LAML 58-66
−6.5
24
vsSFA
SFAW 72-56
+15.5
1
@NWST
NWSTL 56-61
−0.5
3
@ETAM
ETAML 59-63
−5.5
9
vsAMCC
AMCCL 48-62
−7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TEX
TEXL 59-90
−1.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 43-78
−32.5
22
vsRICE
RICEL 58-61
−16.5
25
vsEMU
EMUL 73-74
+16.5
27
vsNAU
NAUL 71-74
+8.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAL 71-78
+0.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-79
+25.5
7
vsNWST
NWSTL 57-64
−14.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 74-68
+4.5
20
@TA&M
TA&ML 45-77
−18.5
22
@UNT
UNTL 46-62
−20.5
4
@LAM
LAML 61-63
−12.5
6
@SFA
SFAW 83-73
+26.5
11
vsUIW
UIWW 81-76
+18.5
13
vsMCN
MCNL 59-75
−4.5
18
vsRGV
RGVW 66-57
−24.5
20
vsAMCC
AMCCW 76-72
+2.5
25
@NOLA
NOLAW 86-76
+14.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 70-62
−7.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 64-74
−2.5
3
@NICH
NICHL 67-75
+0.5
8
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-68
+3.5
10
vsSELA
SELAL 60-69
−12.5
15
@RGV
RGVL 52-76
−19.5
17
@AMCC
AMCCL 62-68
−8.5
22
vsLAM
LAML 58-66
−10.5
24
vsSFA
SFAW 72-56
−7.5
1
@NWST
NWSTL 56-61
−14.5
3
@ETAM
ETAML 59-63
−11.5
9
vsAMCC
AMCCL 48-62
−25.5
over 11under 19avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
33 games played
Straight up
28-5
85% wins
Against the spread
25-8
76% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ SDSU | L 58-63 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 9 | vs PEPP | W 94-76 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 12 | vs SAC | W 64-54 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 16 | vs SEA | L 71-84 | -7.5 | L −20.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAS | W 72-67 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs JMU | W 73-67 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs TOL | W 80-45 | +1.5 | W +36.5 | 154.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 5 | @ UCSB | W 84-76 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | vs CSUB | W 81-60 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 15 | @ IDHO | W 80-56 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 17 | @ USU | W 75-73 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 21 | @ USD | W 77-71 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 4 | @ CSUF | W 90-51 | -12.5 | W +26.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 9 | vs CP | W 95-68 | -14.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs UCI | L 52-60 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 16 | @ LBSU | W 80-54 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 18 | @ UCR | L 81-85 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | vsUCSB | W 77-63 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 25 | vs CSUN | W 79-54 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 30 | @ HAW | W 74-63 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vsUCR | W 91-71 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 8 | @UCI | W 85-67 | -0.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 13 | @CSUB | W 73-54 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 15 | vs UCD | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 20 | @CP | W 81-67 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 22 | vsHAW | W 83-44 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 27 | @CSUN | W 77-71 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Mar 1 | vsCSUF | W 100-55 | -26.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 6 | vsLBSU | W 70-63 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 8 | @UCD | W 68-57 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 14 | vsUCSB | W 69-51 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 15 | vsUCI | W 75-61 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 20 | vs MICH | L 65-68 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-63
+5.5
9
vsPEPP
PEPPW 94-76
+9.5
12
vsSAC
SACW 64-54
−2.5
16
vsSEA
SEAL 71-84
−20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 72-67
+6.5
22
vsJMU
JMUW 73-67
+8.5
23
vsTOL
TOLW 80-45
+36.5
5
@UCSB
UCSBW 84-76
+10.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-60
+10.5
15
@IDHO
IDHOW 80-56
+16.5
17
@USU
USUW 75-73
+12.5
21
@USD
USDW 77-71
−7.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 90-51
+26.5
9
vsCP
CPW 95-68
+12.5
11
vsUCI
UCIL 52-60
−13.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-54
+11.5
18
@UCR
UCRL 81-85
−13.5
23
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-63
+4.5
25
vsCSUN
CSUNW 79-54
+14.5
30
@HAW
HAWW 74-63
+3.5
6
vsUCR
UCRW 91-71
+8.5
8
@UCI
UCIW 85-67
+17.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 73-54
+5.5
15
vsUCD
UCDW 85-60
+10.5
20
@CP
CPW 81-67
+1.5
22
vsHAW
HAWW 83-44
+23.5
27
@CSUN
CSUNW 77-71
+0.5
1
vsCSUF
CSUFW 100-55
+18.5
6
vsLBSU
LBSUW 70-63
−16.5
8
@UCD
UCDW 68-57
−1.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 69-51
+6.5
15
vsUCI
UCIW 75-61
+8.5
20
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
−1.5
covered 25didn’t cover 8avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-63
−19.5
9
vsPEPP
PEPPW 94-76
+25.5
12
vsSAC
SACW 64-54
−21.5
16
vsSEA
SEAL 71-84
+15.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 72-67
−5.5
22
vsJMU
JMUW 73-67
−2.5
23
vsTOL
TOLW 80-45
−29.5
5
@UCSB
UCSBW 84-76
+18.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 81-60
+4.5
15
@IDHO
IDHOW 80-56
−4.5
17
@USU
USUW 75-73
−1.5
21
@USD
USDW 77-71
+3.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 90-51
+4.5
9
vsCP
CPW 95-68
+3.5
11
vsUCI
UCIL 52-60
−27.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-54
−2.5
18
@UCR
UCRL 81-85
+25.5
23
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-63
+2.5
25
vsCSUN
CSUNW 79-54
−16.5
30
@HAW
HAWW 74-63
−0.5
6
vsUCR
UCRW 91-71
+22.5
8
@UCI
UCIW 85-67
+12.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 73-54
−7.5
15
vsUCD
UCDW 85-60
+10.5
20
@CP
CPW 81-67
−12.5
22
vsHAW
HAWW 83-44
−11.5
27
@CSUN
CSUNW 77-71
−1.5
1
vsCSUF
CSUFW 100-55
+12.5
6
vsLBSU
LBSUW 70-63
−4.5
8
@UCD
UCDW 68-57
−11.5
14
vsUCSB
UCSBW 69-51
−18.5
15
vsUCI
UCIW 75-61
−0.5
20
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
−11.5
over 13under 20avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hou Christian
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
UC San Diego
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.