Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -6.5✓ SIU covered by 7.5
BEL -6.5✓ SIU covered by 7.5Closing total158.5Under by 23.5
 SIU | This season | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 12-2 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 5-9 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 77–83 BEL · ✗ BEL (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 26 | 42 | 68 |
| BEL | 22 | 45 | 67 |
1st half: SIU 26, BEL 22 (SIU by 4). The model had BEL by 3.5 and a total of 74.6 (actual 48).
Team stats
| SIU | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-60 43% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 3-12 25% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 10-20 50% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quel'Ron House G | 28 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Drew Steffe G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Pikaar F | 22 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Davion Sykes G | 19 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 17 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaheem Webber, Caden Hawkins, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 28 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 22 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Win Miller G | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Smiley G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Sam Orme F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah West G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nic McClain, Graydon Lemke, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra, Aidan Noyes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -6.5
ModelBEL -6.1
Model edgeSIU +0.4
W SIU covered
Total
Market158.5
Model159.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
SIU 76.6 · BEL 82.7
SIU 68 · BEL 67
Win probability
BEL 70%
1st half
Spread
BEL -3.5
SIU -4.0
Total
74.6
48 points
Projected score
SIU 35.5 · BEL 39.1
SIU 26 · BEL 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -7.5
1 → SIU
CloseBEL -6.5
1 pt toward SIU
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SIU +260 · BEL -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -7.5 · closed BEL -6.5 · moved 1 toward SIUmodel BEL -6
model BEL -6
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| BEL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SIU 2–3 BELBEL leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 3 meetings · SIU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | BEL 73 @ SIU 68 | SIU -1.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | SIU 86 @ BEL 90 | BEL -9.5 | SIU W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | SIU 68 @ BEL 82 | BEL -3.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | BEL 63 @ SIU 73 | SIU -3.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 1, 2022-23 | BEL 45 @ SIU 63 | SIU -5.5 | SIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs ILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ BRAD | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ MUR | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | vs VAL | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
+2.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
+3.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
−10.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
−0.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−0.5
over 5under 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Belmont
14 games played
Straight up
12-2
86% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vsRICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vsBRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
over 7under 7avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
6-8 overall · 1-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Valparaiso75–70
- L@ Murray St81–84
- L@ Bradley69–73
- Lvs Illinois St68–75
- L@ Richmond84–93
3 days since their last game.
Belmont
12-2 overall · 3-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bradley88–78
- L@ Indiana St80–81
- W@ UC Irvine84–58
- W@ Evansville83–78
- Wvs UIC87–84
3 days since their last game.