Carver Arena · at Bradley · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -6.5✓ SIU covered by 2.5
BRAD -6.5✓ SIU covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Under by 10.5
 SIU | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 7-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 75–79 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (66%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 34 | 35 | 69 |
| BRAD | 39 | 34 | 73 |
1st half: SIU 34, BRAD 39 (BRAD by 5). The model had BRAD by 2.8 and a total of 72.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| SIU | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 24-58 41% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe G | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-6 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 30 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 26 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Davion Sykes G | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Stafford G | 21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Max Pikaar F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Prince Aligbe, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaquan Johnson G | 33 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-3 |
| Alex Huibregtse G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Demarion Burch G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-2 |
| AJ Smith F | 25 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 23 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Corey Thomas F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Zobrist G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Kai Yu, Dietrich Richardson, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -6.5
ModelBRAD -4.8
Model edgeSIU +1.7
W SIU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model153.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
SIU 74.6 · BRAD 79.4
SIU 69 · BRAD 73
Win probability
BRAD 66%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -2.8
BRAD -5.0
Total
72.1
73 points
Projected score
SIU 34.7 · BRAD 37.4
SIU 34 · BRAD 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -6.5
no move
CloseBRAD -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SIU +220 · BRAD -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -6.5 · unchangedmodel BRAD -5
model BRAD -5
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| BRAD | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SIU 1–7 BRADBRAD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BRAD has won the last 6 meetings · SIU 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | SIU 64 @ BRAD 78 | BRAD -7.5 | BRAD W |
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | BRAD 83 @ SIU 60 | SIU +4.5 | BRAD W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | SIU 67 @ BRAD 86 | BRAD -8 | BRAD W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | BRAD 70 @ SIU 69 | SIU +1.5 | SIU W |
| Feb 19, 2022-23 | BRAD 50 @ SIU 48 | SIU +1.5 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs ILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
over 5under 6avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vsUTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
over 5under 6avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
5-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois St68–75
- L@ Richmond84–93
- Wvs UT Martin83–54
- W@ High Point86–84
- Wvs Little Rock74–65
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
7-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St108–99
- Wvs N Illinois84–55
- Wvs Washington St64–60
- Wvs Liberty74–64
- Lvs UC San Diego77–87
3 days since their last game.