Carver Arena · at Bradley
Closing line
BRAD -15.5✓ UTM covered by 26.5
BRAD -15.5✓ UTM covered by 26.5Closing total144.5Over by 0.5
 UTM | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 66–81 BRAD · ✗ BRAD (90%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 34 | 44 | 78 |
| BRAD | 36 | 31 | 67 |
1st half: UTM 34, BRAD 36 (BRAD by 2). The model had BRAD by 8.8 and a total of 68.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UTM | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-50 56% | Field goals | 17-51 33% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 3-20 15% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 30-37 81% |
| 36 7 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 17 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 23 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Petkovski G | 37 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 9-14 | 2-4 |
| Afan Trnka G | 32 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 29 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Dragos Lungu G | 28 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luca Colceag F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Pedro Santos G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ty Price G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Lamine Niang C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damien King G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ama Sow, Charlie King, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Filip Radakovic, Lucas Williams
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 34 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| AJ Smith F | 30 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 30 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3-15 | 0-6 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Corey Thomas F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 32 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Montana Wheeler G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Kai Yu C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gustavo Guimares, Gus Rugaard, Handy Toussaint III, Jackson Seastrunk, Matthew Zobrist, Demarion Burch
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -14.5
1 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -15.5
1 pt toward BRAD
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTM +1200 · BRAD -3000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -14.5 · closed BRAD -15.5 · moved 1 toward BRADmodel BRAD -15
model BRAD -15
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BRAD -15.5 | BRAD -14.9 | UTM +0.6 | W UTM covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.1 | Over 2.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTM 66.1 · BRAD 81 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BRAD -8.8 | BRAD -2.0 |
| 1H total | 68.9 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | UTM 30 · BRAD 38.9 | UTM 34 · BRAD 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTMlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| BRADlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +21.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +20.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UNLV | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +21.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
over 1under 0avg +20.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vs
CMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
over 0under 2avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNLV86–81
A week or more of rest.
Bradley
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan85–54
- Lvs St Bonaventure63–69
4 days since their last game.