Banterra Center · at S Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
SIU -7.5✓ VAL covered by 2.5
SIU -7.5✓ VAL covered by 2.5Closing total145.5Under by 0.5
 VAL | This season | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 5-8 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 71–79 SIU · ✓ SIU (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 25 | 45 | 70 |
| SIU | 36 | 39 | 75 |
1st half: VAL 25, SIU 36 (SIU by 11). The model had SIU by 4.6 and a total of 70.2 (actual 61).
Team stats
| VAL | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-66 32% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 24-29 83% | Free throws | 25-42 60% |
| 47 14 off | Rebounds | 43 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 28 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew F | 33 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Owen Dease F | 32 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 24 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 23 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Sader Servilus G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Camden Webster, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson, Kobe Walker, Joe Vick
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe G | 26 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 24 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 23 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-2 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 20 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Haynes G | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Davion Sykes G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Max Pikaar F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Walsh, Daniel Pauliukonis, Caden Hawkins, Jaheem Webber
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -8.5
1 → VAL
CloseSIU -7.5
1 pt toward VAL
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAL +275 · SIU -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -8.5 · closed SIU -7.5 · moved 1 toward VALmodel SIU -8
model SIU -8
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SIU -7.5 | SIU -8.0 | SIU +0.5 | L VAL covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 149.8 | Over 4.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VAL 70.9 · SIU 78.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIU -4.6 | SIU -11.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | VAL 32.8 · SIU 37.4 | VAL 25 · SIU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| SIU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
VAL 1–6 SIUSIU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · VAL 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | VAL 83 @ SIU 79 | SIU -5.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | SIU 79 @ VAL 75 | VAL -0.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | VAL 69 @ SIU 75 | SIU -13.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | SIU 77 @ VAL 68 | VAL +9.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | SIU 66 @ VAL 62 | VAL +3.5 | SIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
over 6under 6avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Illinois
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs ILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ BRAD | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @MUR | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
+2.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
−10.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
−0.5
over 5under 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
5-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northern Iowa48–58
- Lvs Murray St79–85
- L@ Northwestern70–86
- Lvs UNC Wilmington70–73
- L@ Marquette72–75
3 days since their last game.
S Illinois
5-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Murray St81–84
- L@ Bradley69–73
- Lvs Illinois St68–75
- L@ Richmond84–93
- Wvs UT Martin83–54
3 days since their last game.