Lawler Arena · at Merrimack · Conference game
Closing line
MRMK -6.5✓ MRMK covered by 0.5
MRMK -6.5✓ MRMK covered by 0.5Closing total148.5Under by 9.5
 MAN | This season | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 8-7 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 5-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MAN 71–78 MRMK · ✓ MRMK (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 28 | 38 | 66 |
| MRMK | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: MAN 28, MRMK 37 (MRMK by 9). The model had MRMK by 4.0 and a total of 69.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MAN | MRMK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 40 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 39 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 32 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 22 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrance Jones G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 19 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quron Elliott, Asier Miguel, Nick Lukmann, Omari Moore, Jameson Borodawka, Jaeden Robley, Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Jackson Delaney, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Brett Rumpel
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevair Kennedy G | 40 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 36 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Todd Brogna F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aliou Cisse, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Brendan Johnson, Malik Edmead, Brandon Legris, Jaylen Stinson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRMK -6.5
ModelMRMK -6.8
Model edgeMRMK +0.3
W MRMK covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
MAN 71.1 · MRMK 77.9
MAN 66 · MRMK 73
Win probability
MRMK 73%
1st half
Spread
MRMK -4.0
MRMK -9.0
Total
69.8
65 points
Projected score
MAN 32.9 · MRMK 36.9
MAN 28 · MRMK 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -6.5
no move
CloseMRMK -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 3
Close148.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MAN +260 · MRMK -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -6.5 · unchangedmodel MRMK -7
model MRMK -7
Opened 145.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MRMK | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MAN 1–1 MRMKSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MAN 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | MRMK 75 @ MAN 79 | MAN +2.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | MAN 62 @ MRMK 69 | MRMK -7.5 | MAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Manhattan
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs FAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @ RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs QUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
over 6under 8avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Merrimack
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vsRID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vsFAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSM | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
−1.5
over 5under 10avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Manhattan
6-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Quinnipiac80–79
- W@ Rider74–71
- Wvs Presbyterian87–81
- Lvs Furman68–75
- L@ Fordham53–82
2 days since their last game.
Merrimack
8-7 overall · 4-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys75–65
- W@ Sacred Heart80–72
- L@ Vermont59–66
- W@ Princeton59–56
- Wvs Fairfield74–63
2 days since their last game.