Quinnipiac Bobcats at Manhattan Jaspers: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Jan 2, 7:00 PM ETDraddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan · Conference game

#241QUINQuinnipiac79final

Final

#330MANManhattan80▲ winner

Closing lineQUIN -7.5✓ MAN covered by 8.5

Closing total159.5Under by 0.5

Season records: Quinnipiac and Manhattan
QUIN	This season	MAN
9-4	Record	5-8
7-6	ATS	5-8
5-8	O/U	6-7

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: QUIN 84–76 MAN · ✗ QUIN (74%) lost

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
QUIN	45	34	79
MAN	31	49	80

1st half: QUIN 45, MAN 31 (QUIN by 14). The model had QUIN by 4.5 and a total of 74.8 (actual 76).

Team stats

QUIN		MAN
30-65 46%	Field goals	29-62 47%
9-22 41%	3-pointers	7-21 33%
10-10 100%	Free throws	15-16 94%
38 13 off	Rebounds	30 9 off
21	Assists	12
8	Steals	8
4	Blocks	3
15	Turnovers	11
12	Fouls	12
36	Points in paint	40
6	Fast-break points	4

Players

QUIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Grant Randall F	40	22	8	2	9-13	2-4
Asim Jones G	36	14	3	10	4-15	4-6
Amarri Monroe F	25	11	6	2	4-10	1-3
Samson Reilly G	17	3	1	2	1-5	1-5
Spence Wewe F	15	4	4	0	2-2	0-0
Bench
Keith McKnight F	24	18	3	4	8-13	0-1
Sam Nosakhare C	19	2	8	0	1-3	0-0
Ronell Giles Jr. G	15	3	2	0	1-2	1-2
Tai Turnage G	9	2	2	1	0-2	0-1

Did not play: Christopher Skenderi, Jayden Reid, Akintola Akinniyi, Jaden Zimmerman, Nate Guerengomba, Braylan Ritvo

MAN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Devin Dinkins G	38	18	0	1	5-10	1-4
Jaden Winston G	36	22	4	6	10-15	0-3
Erik Oliver-Bush G	26	6	1	2	2-4	0-0
Fraser Roxburgh F	26	12	6	0	3-6	2-3
Marko Ljubicic F	25	8	2	1	3-10	2-7
Bench
Anthony Isaac Jr. F	28	6	13	1	3-8	0-0
Terrance Jones G	18	6	0	1	2-8	2-4
Quron Elliott G	3	2	0	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Jackson Delaney, Jaeden Robley, Jameson Borodawka, Omari Moore, Nick Lukmann, Asier Miguel, Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Brett Rumpel

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	QUIN -7.5	QUIN -7.4	MAN +0.1	W MAN covered
Total	159.5	159.8	Over 0.3	L Under
Projected score	—	QUIN 83.6 · MAN 76.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	QUIN -4.5	QUIN -14.0
1H total	74.8	76
1H projected score	QUIN 39.7 · MAN 35.1	QUIN 45 · MAN 31

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
QUIN LLWLW	7-6	54%	5-2	3-3
MAN LLWWW	5-8	38%	3-1	4-5

Venue/role: QUIN away, as favorite; MAN home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
QUIN UUOUU	5-8	38%	9-4
MAN OUUOU	6-7	46%	5-8

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
QUIN	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%
MAN	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22

QUIN 5–2 MANQUIN leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · QUIN has won the last 3 meetings · QUIN 3-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 23, 2024-25	QUIN 74 @ MAN 71	MAN +4.5	MAN W
Feb 2, 2023-24	QUIN 77 @ MAN 71	MAN +6.5	MAN W
Jan 7, 2023-24	MAN 59 @ QUIN 76	QUIN -9.5	QUIN W
Feb 26, 2022-23	MAN 72 @ QUIN 70	QUIN -8.5	MAN W
Jan 1, 2022-23	QUIN 84 @ MAN 65	MAN +5.5	QUIN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Quinnipiac

13 games played

Straight up

9-4

69% wins

Against the spread

7-6

54% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-8

38% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-469%

L W L W W L W W W W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

7-654%

L W L W W W L W L L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

5-838%

O U O U O O U U U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SJU	L 74-108	+26.5	L −7.5	156.5	O 182
Nov 6	vsCCSU	W 71-49	-9.5	W +12.5	150.5	U 120
Nov 11	vsYALE	L 60-97	+6.5	L −30.5	156.5	O 157
Nov 16	@ME	W 70-64	-3.5	W +2.5	137.5	U 134
Nov 23	@PITT	W 83-75	+12.5	W +20.5	140.5	O 158
Nov 25	@UCF	L 91-102	+13.5	W +2.5	162.5	O 193
Nov 30	vsSTO	W 76-62	-15.5	L −1.5	148.5	U 138
Dec 5	@IONA	W 89-68	+2.5	W +23.5	163.5	U 157
Dec 7	vsRID	W 72-58	-14.5	L −0.5	147.5	U 130
Dec 13	vsUML	W 75-71	-12.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 146
Dec 17	@MONM	W 85-75	+1.5	W +11.5	145.5	O 160
Dec 21	@HOF	L 66-74	+7.5	L −0.5	147.5	U 140
Dec 29	vsMRST	W 64-58	-2.5	W +3.5	145.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

−7.5

CCSU

W 71-49

+12.5

YALE

L 60-97

−30.5

W 70-64

+2.5

PITT

W 83-75

+20.5

UCF

L 91-102

+2.5

STO

W 76-62

−1.5

IONA

W 89-68

+23.5

RID

W 72-58

−0.5

UML

W 75-71

−8.5

MONM

W 85-75

+11.5

HOF

L 66-74

−0.5

MRST

W 64-58

+3.5

covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJU

L 74-108

+25.5

CCSU

W 71-49

−30.5

YALE

L 60-97

+0.5

W 70-64

−3.5

PITT

W 83-75

+17.5

UCF

L 91-102

+30.5

STO

W 76-62

−10.5

IONA

W 89-68

−6.5

RID

W 72-58

−17.5

UML

W 75-71

−7.5

MONM

W 85-75

+14.5

HOF

L 66-74

−7.5

MRST

W 64-58

−23.5

over 5under 8avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Manhattan

13 games played

Straight up

5-8

38% wins

Against the spread

5-8

38% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-7

46% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-838%

L W L W L L L W L L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-838%

L W L L L L L W L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-746%

O U U U O O O U O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 9	@USC	L 83-114	+28.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 197
Nov 12	vsUTU	W 79-75	+2.5	W +6.5	158.5	U 154
Nov 14	@HAW	L 56-86	+15.5	L −14.5	156.5	U 142
Nov 15	vsMVSU	W 80-73	-20.5	L −13.5	154.5	U 153
Nov 21	@TA&M	L 68-109	+23.5	L −17.5	162.5	O 177
Nov 26	vsWAG	L 101-103	-2.5	L −4.5	144.5	O 204
Nov 29	@ARMY	L 78-81	-1.5	L −4.5	152.5	O 159
Dec 5	vsFAIR	W 70-66	+1.5	W +5.5	155.5	U 136
Dec 7	@MRST	L 68-80	+7.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 148
Dec 13	@FOR	L 53-82	+8.5	L −20.5	147.5	U 135
Dec 18	vsFUR	L 68-75	+10.5	W +3.5	154.5	U 143
Dec 21	vsPRES	W 87-81	+2.5	W +8.5	138.5	O 168
Dec 29	@RID	W 74-71	-2.5	W +0.5	147.5	U 145

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

USC

L 83-114

−2.5

UTU

W 79-75

+6.5

HAW

L 56-86

−14.5

MVSU

W 80-73

−13.5

TA&M

L 68-109

−17.5

WAG

L 101-103

−4.5

ARMY

L 78-81

−4.5

FAIR

W 70-66

+5.5

MRST

L 68-80

−4.5

FOR

L 53-82

−20.5

FUR

L 68-75

+3.5

PRES

W 87-81

+8.5

RID

W 74-71

+0.5

covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

USC

L 83-114

+41.5

UTU

W 79-75

−4.5

HAW

L 56-86

−14.5

MVSU

W 80-73

−1.5

TA&M

L 68-109

+14.5

WAG

L 101-103

+59.5

ARMY

L 78-81

+6.5

FAIR

W 70-66

−19.5

MRST

L 68-80

+7.5

FOR

L 53-82

−12.5

FUR

L 68-75

−11.5

PRES

W 87-81

+29.5

RID

W 74-71

−2.5

over 6under 7avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Quinnipiac @ Manhattan

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Quinnipiac

Manhattan

Quinnipiac

Manhattan