Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 5.5
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 5.5Closing total134.5Over by 36.5
 NMSU | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 5-5 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 3-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NMSU 70–67 MOST · ✗ NMSU (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 41 | 41 | 82 |
| MOST | 53 | 36 | 89 |
1st half: NMSU 41, MOST 53 (MOST by 12). The model had NMSU by 1.7 and a total of 64.2 (actual 94).
Team stats
| NMSU | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 29-39 74% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims F | 30 | 22 | 14 | 0 | 9-13 | 2-3 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 28 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Cyr Malonga C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jemel Jones G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5-16 | 0-5 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 27 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-3 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 21 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Jayland Randall G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Terrell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amarco Doyle, Omarr Smith, Christian Villegas, Teysean Eaglestaff
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 39 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 8-11 | 7-9 |
| Keith Palek III F | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 28 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Zaxton King G | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 24 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Antwan Burnett G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 18 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Logan Epes G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryder Cheesman, Cameron Boone, Melakih Cunningham, Collin Clark, Tyrique Brooks, Amar Kuljuhovic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNMSU -1.5
3 → MOST
CloseMOST -1.5
3 pts toward MOST
Total
Open135.5
▼ 1
Close134.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NMSU +100 · MOST -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NMSU -1.5 · closed MOST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MOSTmodel NMSU -2.5
model NMSU -2.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 downmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -1.5 | NMSU -2.7 | NMSU +4.2 | L MOST covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 136.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NMSU 69.8 · MOST 67.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NMSU -1.7 | MOST -12.0 |
| 1H total | 64.2 | 94 |
| 1H projected score | NMSU 32.9 · MOST 31.2 | NMSU 41 · MOST 53 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSUlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
| MOST | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico St
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vs SHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
over 7under 2avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
over 3under 7avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico St
5-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FIU74–89
- Wvs Sam Houston87–78
- Lvs Tulsa70–83
- L@ Abilene Chrstn69–77
- Lvs South Alabama75–77
2 days since their last game.
Missouri St
5-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP79–55
- W@ Delaware61–43
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions70–65
- Wvs Oral Roberts63–62
- L@ Xavier57–75
2 days since their last game.