Jones Convocation Center · at Chicago St · Conference game
Closing line
LIU -7.5✓ LIU covered by 11.5
LIU -7.5✓ LIU covered by 11.5Closing total151.5Under by 22.5
| LIU | This season | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 1-12 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIU 79–74 CHST · ✓ LIU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| CHST | 29 | 26 | 55 |
1st half: LIU 37, CHST 29 (LIU by 8). The model had LIU by 3.5 and a total of 71.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| LIU | CHST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-53 53% | Field goals | 21-62 34% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 31 14 off |
| 20 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| LIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Fuller G | 38 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Jomo Goings G | 32 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4-13 | 3-7 |
| Malachi Davis G | 31 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Greg Gordon G | 28 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Shadrak Lasu F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Faheim Meran G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Mason Porter-Brown F | 18 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Tre'shawn Sheppard G | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Johnson F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xinyi Li, Eddie Munyak, Gavin Pendergast, Isaiah Miranda, Max Ndlovu-Fraser, A.J. Neal Jr.
| CHST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Byard F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| CJ Ray F | 28 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Marcus Tankersley G | 24 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Malek Robinson G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Corey Sands G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Doyel Cockrill III G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Daniel Zatsepin F | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Braelon Bush G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Dakari Thomas G | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Owens F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dailliss Cox F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chauncey Gibson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Greg Spate, DaJuan Bates, Deshawn Jean-Charles, Lionel Larvadain, CJ Delancy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIU -7.5
ModelLIU -5.7
Model edgeCHST +1.8
L LIU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model153.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
LIU 79.4 · CHST 73.7
LIU 74 · CHST 55
Win probability
LIU 69%
1st half
Spread
LIU -3.5
LIU -8.0
Total
71.7
66 points
Projected score
LIU 37.6 · CHST 34.1
LIU 37 · CHST 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIU -8.5
1 → CHST
CloseLIU -7.5
1 pt toward CHST
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIU -355 · CHST +280
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIU -8.5 · closed LIU -7.5 · moved 1 toward CHSTmodel LIU -5.5
model LIU -5.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| CHST | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIU 2–1 CHSTLIU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LIU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | CHST 57 @ LIU 68 | LIU -12.5 | CHST W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LIU 67 @ CHST 73 | CHST +3.5 | CHST W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | CHST 39 @ LIU 53 | LIU -7.5 | LIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Island
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ND | L 67-89 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 6 | @ IUIN | W 94-90 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 185.5 | U 184 |
| Nov 11 | @ AF | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs JMU | W 88-79 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | @ FOR | L 53-69 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 22 | @ ILL | L 58-98 | +34.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ MOST | W 75-61 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIN | L 92-94 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | @ LEH | W 87-82 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs LAS | W 70-60 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSST | L 83-87 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | @ FIU | L 79-86 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | @ UGA | L 74-89 | +30.5 | W +15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 2 | vs CCSU | W 84-78 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
−6.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
+8.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
−1.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+5.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−11.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−5.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
+18.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+3.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+3.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
+7.5
16
@MSST
MSSTL 83-87
+12.5
20
@FIU
FIUL 79-86
−0.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 74-89
+15.5
2
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-78
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
+20.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
−1.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
+10.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+19.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−23.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−4.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
−9.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+32.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+26.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
−13.5
16
@MSST
MSSTL 83-87
+17.5
20
@FIU
FIUL 79-86
+3.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 74-89
−16.5
2
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-78
+15.5
over 8under 6avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chicago St
13 games played
Straight up
1-12
8% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DEP | L 62-92 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 6 | @ SLU | L 86-108 | +30.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 11 | @ BTLR | L 66-98 | +26.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs UIC | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MINN | L 54-66 | +27.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 20 | @ IOWA | L 54-93 | +31.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | @ PFW | L 77-90 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 28 | @ YSU | L 64-87 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ ILST | L 53-95 | +20.5 | L −21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 14 | @ LUC | W 84-75 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 16 | @ BGSU | L 55-76 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ IU | L 58-78 | +38.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vs WAG | L 72-79 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DEP
DEPL 62-92
−5.5
6
@SLU
SLUL 86-108
+8.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRL 66-98
−5.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 63-67
+5.5
18
@MINN
MINNL 54-66
+15.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 54-93
−7.5
25
@PFW
PFWL 77-90
−0.5
28
@YSU
YSUL 64-87
−8.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 53-95
−21.5
14
@LUC
LUCW 84-75
+24.5
16
@BGSU
BGSUL 55-76
+0.5
20
@IU
IUL 58-78
+18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGL 72-79
−5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DEP
DEPL 62-92
+10.5
6
@SLU
SLUL 86-108
+38.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRL 66-98
+5.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 63-67
−26.5
18
@MINN
MINNL 54-66
−24.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 54-93
+4.5
25
@PFW
PFWL 77-90
+17.5
28
@YSU
YSUL 64-87
+4.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 53-95
+3.5
14
@LUC
LUCW 84-75
+18.5
16
@BGSU
BGSUL 55-76
−17.5
20
@IU
IUL 58-78
−16.5
2
vsWAG
WAGL 72-79
+4.5
over 9under 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Island
7-7 overall · 1-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Connecticut84–78
- L@ Georgia74–89
- L@ FIU79–86
- L@ Mississippi St83–87
- Wvs La Salle70–60
2 days since their last game.
Chicago St
1-12 overall · 0-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wagner72–79
- L@ Indiana58–78
- L@ Bowling Green55–76
- W@ Loyola Chicago84–75
- L@ Illinois St53–95
2 days since their last game.