The Super Pit · at North Texas · Conference game
Closing line
TLSA -2.5✓ UNT covered by 7.5
TLSA -2.5✓ UNT covered by 7.5Closing total138.5Over by 0.5
| TLSA | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1 | Record | 7-5 |
| 9-3 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 3-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TLSA 72–69 UNT · ✗ TLSA (61%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| UNT | 27 | 45 | 72 |
1st half: TLSA 28, UNT 27 (TLSA by 1). The model had TLSA by 2.1 and a total of 65.9 (actual 55).
Team stats
| TLSA | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-47 45% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 1 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Barnstable G | 32 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| David Green F | 29 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Tylen Riley G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 3-11 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ade Popoola G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Rigsby G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Ian Smikle F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Romad Dean F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leon Sifferlin, Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 30 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 6-14 | 4-8 |
| Cole Franklin G | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Reece Robinson F | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Shackleford F | 19 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Demarion Watson G | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 12 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will McClendon, EJ Horton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTLSA -4.5
2 → UNT
CloseTLSA -2.5
2 pts toward UNT
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TLSA -155 · UNT +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TLSA -4.5 · closed TLSA -2.5 · moved 2 toward UNTmodel TLSA -3.5
model TLSA -3.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TLSA -2.5 | TLSA -3.3 | TLSA +0.8 | L UNT covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 140.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TLSA 72 · UNT 68.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TLSA -2.1 | TLSA -1.0 |
| 1H total | 65.9 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | TLSA 34 · UNT 31.9 | TLSA 28 · UNT 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| UNT | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TLSA 0–3 UNTUNT leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNT has won the last 3 meetings · TLSA 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | TLSA 59 vs UNT 77 | UNT -13.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | TLSA 44 @ UNT 63 | UNT -14.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | UNT 68 @ TLSA 55 | TLSA +4.5 | UNT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulsa
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Dec 13 | vs NMSU | W 83-70 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ WKU | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs DEN | W 90-85 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs RICE | W 97-48 | -12.5 | W +36.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+8.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
−1.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
−11.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
+36.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+6.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
+4.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
+14.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
−7.5
over 8under 4avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @ USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ MEM | L 48-57 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
−32.5
over 3under 9avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulsa
11-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rice97–48
- Wvs Denver90–85
- W@ Western KY82–81
- Wvs New Mexico St83–70
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff117–84
4 days since their last game.
North Texas
7-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Memphis48–57
- Lvs Santa Clara60–63
- W@ South Alabama58–57
- Lvs TCU55–65
- Wvs Hou Christian77–75
4 days since their last game.