Truist Arena · at N Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -4.5✓ NKU covered by 10.5
NKU -4.5✓ NKU covered by 10.5Closing total146.5Over by 26.5
 YSU | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 8-5 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 72–75 NKU · ✓ NKU (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 24 | 55 | 79 |
| NKU | 50 | 44 | 94 |
1st half: YSU 24, NKU 50 (NKU by 26). The model had NKU by 1.2 and a total of 68.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| YSU | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-70 40% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 10-34 29% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 13-23 57% | Free throws | 25-32 78% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 45 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 36 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 8-17 | 7-14 |
| Rich Rolf F | 30 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Jason Nelson G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Robinett F | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Drew King G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Polak G | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 33 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| LJ Wells F | 32 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 7-11 | 2-3 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 30 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kael Robinson F | 27 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Tae Dozier G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mitchel Minor, Addison Archer, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -4.5
no move
CloseNKU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
YSU +170 · NKU -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -4.5 · unchangedmodel NKU -2
model NKU -2
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -4.5 | NKU -2.2 | YSU +2.3 | L NKU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 147.1 | Over 0.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YSU 72.4 · NKU 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -1.2 | NKU -26.0 |
| 1H total | 68.9 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | YSU 33.8 · NKU 35 | YSU 24 · NKU 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| NKU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YSU 3–6 NKUNKU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YSU 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | YSU 79 @ NKU 88 | NKU -2.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | NKU 61 @ YSU 72 | YSU -2.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | NKU 52 @ YSU 82 | YSU -6.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | YSU 76 @ NKU 79 | NKU -0.5 | NKU W |
| Mar 6, 2022-23 | NKU 75 vs YSU 63 | YSU -3.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs WRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs OAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
over 6under 7avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vsOAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vsIUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
over 8under 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
6-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oakland83–85
- Lvs Detroit Mercy68–73
- Wvs SC Upstate74–65
- L@ Robert Morris77–80
- W@ IU Indy78–55
3 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
8-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy81–72
- W@ Robert Morris79–77
- Lvs Charleston74–85
- Lvs Oakland77–82
- W@ Bellarmine80–76
3 days since their last game.