Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St · Conference game
Closing line
YSU -9.5✓ DETM covered by 14.5
Closing total146.5Under by 5.5
| This season | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 6-5 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DETM 70–79 YSU · ✗ YSU (78%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 32 | 41 | 73 |
| YSU | 25 | 43 | 68 |
1st half: DETM 32, YSU 25 (DETM by 7). The model had YSU by 5.1 and a total of 69.6 (actual 57).
Team stats
| DETM | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 22-67 33% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 10-38 26% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 43 12 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 9 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| DETM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Kalambay F | 31 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| TJ Nadeau G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| London Maiden F | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Spratt G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keshawn Fisher G | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Jared Lary G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Lance Stone G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe C | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nate Johnson, Je'kel Cotton, Ayden Carter, Zak Abdalla, Legend Geeter
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 34 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Jason Nelson G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Rich Rolf F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vlad Salaridze F | 21 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Drew King G | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Tyler Robinett F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cam Polak G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -8.5
1 → YSU
CloseYSU -9.5
1 pt toward YSU
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
DETM +400 · YSU -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -8.5 · closed YSU -9.5 · moved 1 toward YSUmodel YSU -8.5
model YSU -8.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YSU -9.5 | YSU -8.7 | DETM +0.8 | W DETM covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 148.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DETM 70 · YSU 78.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YSU -5.1 | DETM -7.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | DETM 32.3 · YSU 37.3 | DETM 32 · YSU 25 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DETM 0–8 YSUYSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · YSU has won the last 8 meetings · DETM 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | YSU 87 @ DETM 72 | DETM +7.5 | YSU W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | DETM 64 @ YSU 73 | YSU -14.5 | DETM W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | DETM 55 @ YSU 69 | YSU -18.5 | DETM W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | YSU 105 @ DETM 64 | DETM +10.5 | YSU W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | DETM 66 @ YSU 71 | YSU -8.5 | DETM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Detroit Mercy
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 71-91 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 70-102 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 83-90 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 56-84 | +30.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 75-95 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 29 | @ | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 92-78 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 180.5 | U 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 71-59 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 77-81 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UIC
L 71-91
−10.5
7
@
ND
L 70-102
−10.5
15
@
TOL
L 83-90
+3.5
18
vs
EMU
L 62-72
−11.5
21
@
MSU
L 56-84
+2.5
23
@
DEP
L 75-95
−0.5
29
@
NIA
W 70-66
+2.5
3
vs
IUIN
W 92-78
+10.5
6
@
CLE
W 71-59
+13.5
14
@
PFW
L 77-81
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UIC
L 71-91
+19.5
7
@
ND
L 70-102
+24.5
15
@
TOL
L 83-90
+13.5
18
vs
EMU
L 62-72
−23.5
21
@
MSU
L 56-84
−9.5
23
@
DEP
L 75-95
+18.5
29
@
NIA
W 70-66
−6.5
3
vs
IUIN
W 92-78
−10.5
6
@
CLE
W 71-59
−28.5
14
@
PFW
L 77-81
+4.5
over 5under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−0.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+24.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+5.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
−15.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−11.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
+4.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+8.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−2.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
+16.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
−0.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
PITT
L 59-74
−12.5
7
@
GCU
W 90-81
+18.5
15
@
SBU
L 80-84
+17.5
19
@
TOL
L 75-92
+6.5
23
vs
UNCG
L 62-68
−22.5
24
vs
GASO
W 67-61
−35.5
28
vs
CHST
W 87-64
+4.5
3
vs
WRST
W 69-68
−7.5
6
@
IUIN
W 78-55
−38.5
17
@
RMU
L 77-80
+16.5
20
vs
UPST
W 74-65
−2.5
over 5under 6avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Detroit Mercy
3-7 overall · 2-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue FW77–81
- W@ Cleveland St71–59
- Wvs IU Indy92–78
- W@ Niagara70–66
- L@ DePaul75–95
A week or more of rest.
Youngstown St
6-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC Upstate74–65
- L@ Robert Morris77–80
- W@ IU Indy78–55
- Wvs Wright St69–68
- Wvs Chicago St87–64
A week or more of rest.