Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -11.5✓ PEPP covered by 6.5
PAC -11.5✓ PEPP covered by 6.5Closing total138.5Over by 4.5
 PEPP | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 8-6 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 4-10 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PEPP 64–75 PAC · ✓ PAC (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEPP | 36 | 33 | 69 |
| PAC | 40 | 34 | 74 |
1st half: PEPP 36, PAC 40 (PAC by 4). The model had PAC by 6.6 and a total of 65.4 (actual 76).
Team stats
| PEPP | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 14-15 93% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| PEPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles Phipps G | 39 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Javon Cooley G | 33 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-5 |
| Danilo Dozic C | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Yonatan Levy F | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Pavle Stosic F | 22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aaron Clark G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Nikola Radovanovic F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luka Vudragovic G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Stefan Cicic C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| David Mager G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vladimir Sudar, Preston Phillips, Yassine Gharram, Anto Balian, Ty Virgil, Pasha Shemirani
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph F | 38 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-5 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 35 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 34 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 32 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-12 | 2-7 |
| Isaac Jack F | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 17 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alexis Marmolejos, Clayton Mpiana, Eyal Harel, Emmanuel Manyuon, Augustas Brazdeikis, Kris Keinys, Carlsheon Young, Dominic Capriotti, Noah Budu, Kellen Hampton
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -11.5
ModelPAC -11.2
Model edgePEPP +0.3
W PEPP covered
Total
Market138.5
Model139.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
PEPP 64.1 · PAC 75.3
PEPP 69 · PAC 74
Win probability
PAC 84%
1st half
Spread
PAC -6.6
PAC -4.0
Total
65.4
76 points
Projected score
PEPP 29.4 · PAC 36
PEPP 36 · PAC 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -11.5
no move
ClosePAC -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PEPP +500 · PAC -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -11.5 · unchangedmodel PAC -11
model PAC -11
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEPP | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PEPP 6–4 PACPEPP leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PEPP has won the last 5 meetings · PEPP 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | PAC 44 @ PEPP 60 | PEPP -7.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | PEPP 87 @ PAC 70 | PAC -0.5 | PEPP W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | PAC 43 vs PEPP 102 | PEPP -9.5 | PEPP W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | PEPP 89 @ PAC 70 | PAC +7.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | PAC 78 @ PEPP 93 | PEPP -12.5 | PEPP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pepperdine
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-10
29% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +29.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNCO | L 81-88 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | vs NOLA | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs SFA | L 60-63 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs FRES | L 53-76 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ CSUF | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs ACU | L 63-71 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVM | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ CSUB | W 70-62 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | @ LBSU | L 78-81 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs RICE | W 84-62 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 28 | vs GONZ | L 56-96 | +29.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | vs SMC | L 45-72 | +19.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | @ SCU | L 63-82 | +20.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
+18.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
−5.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+5.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−1.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−20.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−12.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−6.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−7.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
+9.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+1.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+23.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−10.5
30
vsSMC
SMCL 45-72
−7.5
2
@SCU
SCUL 63-82
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−15.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
+15.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+11.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−25.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−21.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−9.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−3.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−21.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
−15.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+17.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+5.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−0.5
30
vsSMC
SMCL 45-72
−24.5
2
@SCU
SCUL 63-82
−5.5
over 4under 10avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vsLBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
over 5under 9avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pepperdine
3-11 overall · 0-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Clara63–82
- Lvs Saint Mary's45–72
- Lvs Gonzaga56–96
- Wvs Rice84–62
- L@ Long Beach St78–81
2 days since their last game.
Pacific
8-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon St84–53
- L@ LMU71–80
- L@ San Diego54–66
- Wvs Nicholls95–82
- L@ BYU57–93
2 days since their last game.