Firestone Fieldhouse · at Pepperdine
Closing line
PEPP -5.5✓ PEPP covered by 5.5
Closing total157.5Over by 11.5
| This season | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NOLA 77–80 PEPP · ✓ PEPP (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| PEPP | 45 | 45 | 90 |
1st half: NOLA 37, PEPP 45 (PEPP by 8). The model had PEPP by 1.8 and a total of 73.4 (actual 82).
Team stats
| NOLA | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 29-64 45% |
| 12-29 41% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 25-28 89% |
| 40 15 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 23 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleton Benson G | 36 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 4-13 | 4-10 |
| Jakevion Buckley G | 34 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| MJ Thomas F | 30 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Churchill Abass F | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Enzo Boudouma F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jamal Chretien II G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| TJ Cope G | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Irish Coquia G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mathok Majok F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vieux Sanneh, Eze Nwakamma, Grant Kemp, William Patterson Jr.
| PEPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Dozic C | 38 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Styles Phipps G | 37 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Javon Cooley G | 35 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-7 |
| Aaron Clark G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Yonatan Levy F | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Vudragovic G | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-8 |
| Pavle Stosic F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Stefan Cicic C | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Sudar F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Mager G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Radovanovic F | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Phillips, Anto Balian, Ty Virgil, Yassine Gharram, Pasha Shemirani
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPEPP -5.5
ModelPEPP -3.2
Model edgeNOLA +2.3
L PEPP covered
Total
Market157.5
Model156.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
NOLA 76.8 · PEPP 80
NOLA 79 · PEPP 90
Win probability
PEPP 61%
1st half
Spread
PEPP -1.8
PEPP -8.0
Total
73.4
82 points
Projected score
NOLA 35.8 · PEPP 37.6
NOLA 37 · PEPP 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPEPP -3.5
2 → PEPP
ClosePEPP -5.5
2 pts toward PEPP
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NOLA +190 · PEPP -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PEPP -3.5 · closed PEPP -5.5 · moved 2 toward PEPPmodel PEPP -3
model PEPP -3
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | |
| 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU N Orleans
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TCU
W 78-74
+25.5
10
@
LSU
L 58-93
−15.5
14
@
TULN
W 85-63
+33.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
TCU
W 78-74
+2.5
10
@
LSU
L 58-93
−11.5
14
@
TULN
W 85-63
−5.5
over 1under 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pepperdine
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
+18.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−15.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
+15.5
over 1under 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU N Orleans
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tulane85–63
- L@ LSU58–93
- W@ TCU78–74
4 days since their last game.
Pepperdine
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Colorado81–88
- L@ UCLA63–74
3 days since their last game.