Gersten Pavilion · at LMU · Conference game
Closing line
LMU -3.5✓ LMU covered by 5.5
LMU -3.5✓ LMU covered by 5.5Closing total139.5Over by 11.5
 PAC | This season | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 8-5 |
| 8-4 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 66–70 LMU · ✓ LMU (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| LMU | 37 | 43 | 80 |
1st half: PAC 41, LMU 37 (PAC by 4). The model had LMU by 2.4 and a total of 63.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| PAC | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 27-55 49% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 39 16 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 9 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph F | 40 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 7-15 | 2-3 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 38 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 36 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 33 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| Isaac Jack F | 25 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eyal Harel, Emmanuel Manyuon, Clayton Mpiana, Augustas Brazdeikis, Alexis Marmolejos, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 37 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 5-15 | 3-10 |
| Jalen Shelley F | 36 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Jan Vide G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Aaron McBride F | 27 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Thomas G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jael Martin F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Rick Issanza C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dalton F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Rodney Brown Jr., Tanner Thomas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLMU -5.5
2 → PAC
CloseLMU -3.5
2 pts toward PAC
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
PAC +150 · LMU -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LMU -5.5 · closed LMU -3.5 · moved 2 toward PACmodel LMU -4
model LMU -4
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LMU -3.5 | LMU -4.2 | LMU +0.7 | W LMU covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 136.2 | Under 3.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | PAC 66 · LMU 70.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LMU -2.4 | PAC -4.0 |
| 1H total | 63.9 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | PAC 30.7 · LMU 33.1 | PAC 41 · LMU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| LMU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PAC 3–6 LMULMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PAC 4-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | PAC 83 @ LMU 58 | LMU -12.5 | PAC W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | LMU 73 @ PAC 68 | PAC +5.5 | PAC W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | LMU 86 @ PAC 63 | PAC +7.5 | LMU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | PAC 64 @ LMU 81 | LMU -14.5 | LMU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | PAC 88 @ LMU 90 | LMU -9.5 | PAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
over 4under 8avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
LMU
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vsFAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vsSTBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs UCSD | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs UNA | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs MORG | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SMC | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−8.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+23.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
+3.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−26.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+7.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
−5.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+7.5
over 6under 7avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
7-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego54–66
- Wvs Nicholls95–82
- L@ BYU57–93
- L@ California61–67
- W@ Air Force80–65
2 days since their last game.
LMU
8-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Mary's73–78
- Wvs Morgan St83–56
- Wvs North Alabama91–57
- Lvs UC San Diego57–67
- Lvs Saint Louis70–91
2 days since their last game.