Gersten Pavilion · at LMU
Closing line
LMU -10.5✓ STBK covered by 13.5
LMU -10.5✓ STBK covered by 13.5Closing total138.5Over by 0.5
 STBK | This season | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 6-1 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STBK 63–74 LMU · ✗ LMU (83%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBK | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| LMU | 30 | 38 | 68 |
1st half: STBK 41, LMU 30 (STBK by 11). The model had LMU by 6.3 and a total of 64.1 (actual 71).
Team stats
| STBK | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Pratt G | 35 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 11-20 | 3-7 |
| Rob Brown III G | 34 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Richard Goods F | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Quin Gorman F | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Collin O'Connor G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tomas Valentiny F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 25 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Oleg Kojenets F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Simmon G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Toby Onyekonwu G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Harbatkin, Andrew Okafor, Liam Dagostino, Jonah Butler, Leon Nahar
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 35 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Aaron McBride F | 34 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Jalen Shelley F | 28 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Rick Issanza C | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| AJ Thomas G | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 30 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 25 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Josh Dalton F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Jael Martin, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Jan Vide, Tanner Thomas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLMU -10.5
ModelLMU -10.8
Model edgeLMU +0.3
L STBK covered
Total
Market138.5
Model136.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
STBK 63 · LMU 73.8
STBK 71 · LMU 68
Win probability
LMU 83%
1st half
Spread
LMU -6.3
STBK -11.0
Total
64.1
71 points
Projected score
STBK 28.9 · LMU 35.2
STBK 41 · LMU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLMU -10.5
no move
CloseLMU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
no move
Close138.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
STBK +500 · LMU -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LMU -10.5 · unchangedmodel LMU -11
model LMU -11
Opened 138.5 · unchangedmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBKlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| LMUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stony Brook
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
15
@
YALE
YALEL 79-86
+13.5
20
vs
BRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+6.5
24
vs
PAC
PACL 58-86
−23.5
25
vs
BCU
BCUW 61-54
+11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+14.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+13.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−1.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
LMU
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
EWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@
UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vs
TROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@
UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vs
FAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vs
OHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
over 2under 5avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stony Brook
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bethune61–54
- Lvs Pacific58–86
- Wvs Brown80–70
- L@ Yale79–86
- Wvs Maine71–60
3 days since their last game.
LMU
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio70–58
- Lvs FAU65–76
- W@ Santa Barbara78–74
- Wvs Troy74–63
- W@ UTEP71–58
3 days since their last game.