John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale
Closing line
YALE -20.5✓ STBK covered by 13.5
YALE -20.5✓ STBK covered by 13.5Closing total150.5Over by 14.5
 STBK | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STBK 65–86 YALE · ✓ YALE (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBK | 38 | 41 | 79 |
| YALE | 40 | 46 | 86 |
1st half: STBK 38, YALE 40 (YALE by 2). The model had YALE by 12.5 and a total of 71.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| STBK | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-50 54% | Field goals | 24-48 50% |
| 13-27 48% | 3-pointers | 10-19 53% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 28-33 85% |
| 21 6 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin O'Connor G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Erik Pratt G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7-14 | 4-8 |
| Rob Brown III G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Richard Goods F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Quin Gorman F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tomas Valentiny F | 29 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Jonah Butler G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Oleg Kojenets F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ethan Simmon, Leon Nahar, Liam Dagostino, Andrew Okafor, Jake Harbatkin, Toby Onyekonwu
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 37 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 5-10 | 4-6 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 33 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Samson Aletan C | 31 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Casey Simmons G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 22 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeannot Basima, Devon Arlington, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving, Jack Sullivan, Daniel Ogunyemi
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -18.5
2 → YALE
CloseYALE -20.5
2 pts toward YALE
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
STBK +1300 · YALE -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -18.5 · closed YALE -20.5 · moved 2 toward YALEmodel YALE -21
model YALE -21
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -20.5 | YALE -20.9 | YALE +0.4 | L STBK covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 151.5 | Over 1.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | STBK 65.3 · YALE 86.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -12.5 | YALE -2.0 |
| 1H total | 71.0 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | STBK 29.2 · YALE 41.7 | STBK 38 · YALE 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBKlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| YALElast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STBK 1–3 YALEYALE leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 3 meetings · STBK 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024-25 | YALE 86 @ STBK 64 | STBK +9.5 | YALE W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | STBK 71 @ YALE 79 | YALE -13.5 | STBK W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | YALE 77 @ STBK 72 | STBK +15.5 | STBK W |
| Nov 28, 2021-22 | STBK 85 @ YALE 81 | YALE -5.5 | STBK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stony Brook
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ME | W 71-60 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
over 0under 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +27 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@
QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +27 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
over 2under 0avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stony Brook
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine71–60
A week or more of rest.
Yale
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Quinnipiac97–60
- W@ Navy97–68
4 days since their last game.