Rose Hill Gym · at Fordham · Conference game
Closing line
RICH -2.5✓ RICH covered by 5.5
RICH -2.5✓ RICH covered by 5.5Closing total142.5Over by 15.5
| RICH | This season | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 6-5 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 2-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 71–71 FOR · ✓ RICH (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 33 | 50 | 83 |
| FOR | 28 | 47 | 75 |
1st half: RICH 33, FOR 28 (RICH by 5). The model had RICH by 0.2 and a total of 66.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| RICH | FOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 13-19 68% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 24 7 off | Rebounds | 43 18 off |
| 21 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 1 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 29 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| AJ Lopez G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-3 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-4 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 24 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 20 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Will Harper III G | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| David Thomas G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Bryson McGlothin, Dylan Homenick, Donovan Richardson, Jaylen Robinson, Kirby Mooney, Collin Tanner
| FOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rikus Schulte F | 37 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-3 |
| Dejour Reaves G | 33 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Akira Jacobs F | 32 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Jack Whitbourn C | 29 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Greene G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Henry G | 27 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Louis Lesmond G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Abass Bodija, Roor Akhuar, Jace Howard, Max Miller, Aidan Crotty, Kingston Price, Ryan Pettis, Jameson O'Toole, Zarique Nutter
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -2.5
ModelRICH -0.2
Model edgeFOR +2.3
L RICH covered
Total
Market142.5
Model142.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
L Over
Projected score
RICH 71.2 · FOR 71
RICH 83 · FOR 75
Win probability
RICH 51%
1st half
Spread
RICH -0.2
RICH -5.0
Total
66.6
61 points
Projected score
RICH 33.4 · FOR 33.2
RICH 33 · FOR 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -1.5
1 → RICH
CloseRICH -2.5
1 pt toward RICH
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RICH -148 · FOR +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -1.5 · closed RICH -2.5 · moved 1 toward RICHmodel RICH -0
model RICH -0
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| FOR | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RICH 4–0 FORRICH leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · RICH has won the last 4 meetings · RICH 4-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | FOR 66 @ RICH 70 | RICH +1.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | RICH 83 @ FOR 69 | FOR +2.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 5, 2022-23 | FOR 58 @ RICH 68 | RICH -4.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 18, 2021-22 | RICH 83 @ FOR 70 | FOR +8 | RICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vs GW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
over 7under 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fordham
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-9
18% overs · avg −11 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NJIT | L 61-72 | -14.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAG | W 63-61 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 14 | @ IONA | L 71-76 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIU | W 69-53 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 29 | vs UALB | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs COLG | L 62-72 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs HC | L 69-70 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs FDU | W 75-54 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | vs MAN | W 82-53 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs NHVN | W 65-47 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 31 | @ DAY | L 56-63 | +16.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−25.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−10.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
+0.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
+11.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+9.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
−11.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
+9.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
+20.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
+4.5
31
@DAY
DAYL 56-63
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−14.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−15.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
−23.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+12.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
+0.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
−12.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
−12.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
−15.5
31
@DAY
DAYL 56-63
−20.5
over 2under 9avg −11 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
9-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs G Washington85–99
- Lvs Charleston So72–77
- Wvs The Citadel80–56
- L@ Elon70–73
- Wvs S Illinois93–84
4 days since their last game.
Fordham
6-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Dayton56–63
- Wvs New Haven65–47
- Wvs Manhattan82–53
- Wvs FDU75–54
- Lvs Holy Cross69–70
4 days since their last game.