Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Fordham Rams: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 10, 7:00 PM ETRose Hill Gym · at Fordham

#356FDUFDU54final

Final

#100FORFordham75▲ winner

Closing lineFOR -11.5✓ FOR covered by 9.5

Closing total141.5Under by 12.5

Season records: FDU and Fordham
FDU	This season	FOR
0-7	Record	3-4
0-7	ATS	3-4
3-4	O/U	2-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: FDU 66–80 FOR · ✓ FOR (89%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
FDU	22	32	54
FOR	37	38	75

1st half: FDU 22, FOR 37 (FOR by 15). The model had FOR by 8.3 and a total of 68.4 (actual 59).

Team stats

FDU		FOR
20-55 36%	Field goals	28-58 48%
8-28 29%	3-pointers	10-23 43%
6-9 67%	Free throws	9-13 69%
27 6 off	Rebounds	42 12 off
15	Assists	15
3	Steals	8
6	Blocks	2
12	Turnovers	11
17	Fouls	11
20	Points in paint	32
4	Fast-break points	10

Players

FDU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Joey Niesman G	36	8	2	2	3-11	2-6
Taeshaud Jackson F	30	11	5	1	4-8	1-3
Eric Parnell G	25	11	2	0	4-9	3-8
Raysean Johnson G	25	6	6	2	2-5	1-3
Cyril Martynov C	19	1	4	2	0-5	0-1
Bench
Arthur Cox F	27	13	5	5	5-12	1-4
Noah Melson G	23	2	2	1	1-3	0-2
Ras Elijah Godbolt G	13	2	1	2	1-2	0-1
Sebastian Haubro C	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Chid Ekwommadu, Josiah Francis, Andrew Canda, Kody Frey, Cole Alexander, Tyler McQuaid, David Jevtic

FOR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dejour Reaves G	35	16	7	5	6-14	1-4
Rikus Schulte F	33	10	14	2	5-11	0-1
Christian Henry G	32	17	4	6	5-11	3-6
Marcus Greene G	26	7	1	0	3-7	1-4
Akira Jacobs F	25	7	8	0	2-5	1-3
Bench
Roor Akhuar F	18	11	1	0	4-4	3-3
Abass Bodija F	17	4	5	0	2-4	0-0
Kingston Price G	14	3	1	2	1-2	1-2

Did not play: Max Miller, Jameson O'Toole, Jace Howard, Jack Whitbourn, Aidan Crotty, Demitri Gardner, Ryan Pettis, Louis Lesmond, Zarique Nutter

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	FOR -11.5	FOR -14.0	FOR +2.5	W FOR covered
Total	141.5	146.0	Over 4.5	L Under
Projected score	—	FDU 66 · FOR 80

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FOR -8.3	FOR -15.0
1H total	68.4	59
1H projected score	FDU 30 · FOR 38.3	FDU 22 · FOR 37

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
FDU LLLLL	0-7	0%	0-5	0-6
FOR WWWLL	3-4	43%	1-3	2-3

Venue/role: FDU away, as underdog; FOR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
FDU UOUOU	3-4	43%	0-7
FOR UUOUO	2-5	29%	3-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FDUlast 7	0-7 0%	0-7 0%	3-4 43%
FORlast 7	3-4 43%	3-4 43%	2-5 29%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

FDU 0–2 FORFOR leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · FOR has won the last 2 meetings · FDU 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 4, 2024-25	FDU 75 @ FOR 84	FOR -12.5	FDU W
Nov 30, 2023-24	FDU 52 @ FOR 80	FOR -12.5	FOR W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

FDU

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

0-7

0% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-443%

U O U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ISU	L 50-88	+37.5	L −0.5	147.5	U 138
Nov 8	@SPU	L 83-93	+6.5	L −3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@TEX	L 58-93	+31.5	L −3.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 15	@NJIT	L 81-93	+2.5	L −9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 24	vsETAM	L 65-70	+3.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 135
Nov 26	vsARMY	L 73-81	-4.5	L −12.5	152.5	O 154
Dec 2	@PROV	L 64-94	+26.5	L −3.5	162.5	U 158

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ISU

L 50-88

−0.5

SPU

L 83-93

−3.5

TEX

L 58-93

−3.5

NJIT

L 81-93

−9.5

ETAM

L 65-70

−1.5

ARMY

L 73-81

−12.5

PROV

L 64-94

−3.5

covered 0didn’t cover 7avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ISU

L 50-88

−9.5

SPU

L 83-93

+38.5

TEX

L 58-93

−7.5

NJIT

L 81-93

+27.5

ETAM

L 65-70

−14.5

ARMY

L 73-81

+1.5

PROV

L 64-94

−4.5

over 3under 4avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Fordham

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-5

29% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-443%

L L W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-529%

U U U U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsNJIT	L 61-72	-14.5	L −25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	vsWAG	W 63-61	-12.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 124
Nov 14	@IONA	L 71-76	+5.5	W +0.5	157.5	U 147
Nov 20	vsLIU	W 69-53	-4.5	W +11.5	145.5	U 122
Nov 29	vsUALB	W 88-68	-10.5	W +9.5	143.5	O 156
Nov 30	vsCOLG	L 62-72	+1.5	L −8.5	142.5	U 134
Dec 6	vsHC	L 69-70	-10.5	L −11.5	138.5	O 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NJIT

L 61-72

−25.5

WAG

W 63-61

−10.5

IONA

L 71-76

+0.5

LIU

W 69-53

+11.5

UALB

W 88-68

+9.5

COLG

L 62-72

−8.5

L 69-70

−11.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NJIT

L 61-72

−14.5

WAG

W 63-61

−15.5

IONA

L 71-76

−10.5

LIU

W 69-53

−23.5

UALB

W 88-68

+12.5

COLG

L 62-72

−8.5

L 69-70

+0.5

over 2under 5avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

FDU @ Fordham

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

FDU

Fordham

FDU

Fordham