Robins Center · at Richmond
Closing line
RICH -19.5✓ RICH covered by 15.5
RICH -19.5✓ RICH covered by 15.5Closing total154.5Over by 14.5
 GWEB | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 3-0 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GWEB 69–88 RICH · ✓ RICH (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEB | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| RICH | 62 | 40 | 102 |
1st half: GWEB 30, RICH 62 (RICH by 32). The model had RICH by 11.7 and a total of 73.3 (actual 92).
Team stats
| GWEB | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-59 39% | Field goals | 38-73 52% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 46 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 22 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| GWEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Hawkins G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Ace Talbert G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Curtis Williams III G | 27 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Hogarth F | 21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Hudson G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Spence Sims G | 24 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| DJ Jefferson G | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Jamias Ferere G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| NaVuan Peterson F | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Julius Clark G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ahmadou Ndiaye G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Paul Lindberg G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Gales G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riek Riek, Ashton King, Isaiah Hicks
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Tyne G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Collin Tanner G | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Will Johnston G | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| AJ Lopez G | 16 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 20 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Argabright G | 17 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 17 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| David Thomas G | 17 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 15 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Kirby Mooney G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick, Bryson McGlothin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -19.5
ModelRICH -19.6
Model edgeRICH +0.1
W RICH covered
Total
Market154.5
Model156.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
GWEB 68.5 · RICH 88.1
GWEB 67 · RICH 102
Win probability
RICH 96%
1st half
Spread
RICH -11.7
RICH -32.0
Total
73.3
92 points
Projected score
GWEB 30.8 · RICH 42.5
GWEB 30 · RICH 62
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -20.5
1 → GWEB
CloseRICH -19.5
1 pt toward GWEB
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GWEB +2000 · RICH -7500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -20.5 · closed RICH -19.5 · moved 1 toward GWEBmodel RICH -19.5 matches the line
model RICH -19.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWEBlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
| RICHlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Gardner-Webb
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MINN
MINNL 60-87
+1.5
7
@
CLEM
CLEML 59-97
−8.5
15
@
ELON
ELONL 84-95
+2.5
18
@
DEP
DEPL 62-93
−9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MINN
MINNL 60-87
−1.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 59-97
+10.5
15
@ELON
ELONL 84-95
+24.5
18
@DEP
DEPL 62-93
−0.5
over 2under 2avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vs
W&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vs
VMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
over 2under 1avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Gardner-Webb
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ DePaul62–93
- L@ Elon84–95
- L@ Clemson59–97
- L@ Minnesota60–87
4 days since their last game.
Richmond
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI87–54
- Wvs William & Mary90–86
- Wvs East Carolina87–72
3 days since their last game.