State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
RICH -6.5✓ CLT covered by 1.5
RICH -6.5✓ CLT covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Under by 4.5
| RICH | This season | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-4 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 77–70 CLT · ✓ RICH (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| CLT | 26 | 40 | 66 |
1st half: RICH 32, CLT 26 (RICH by 6). The model had RICH by 4.1 and a total of 69.0 (actual 58).
Team stats
| RICH | CLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-48 46% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 20-34 59% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 5 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Tanner G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Will Johnston G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| AJ Lopez G | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| David Thomas G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 18 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney, Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick
| CLT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bradford G | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Dezayne Mingo G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-9 |
| Kylan Blackmon G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Anton Bonke C | 20 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Butler F | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Major Freeman G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| David Gomez F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Raúl Villar G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jarne Elouna Eyenga F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spencer Elliott F | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Arden Conyers F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kuluel Mading C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nick Richart, Damoni Harrison, Andrew Bailey, Frank Oguche
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -6.5
no move
CloseRICH -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 6
Close141.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
RICH -320 · CLT +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -6.5 · unchangedmodel RICH -6.5 matches the line
model RICH -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 147.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 6 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | RICH -6.5 | RICH -6.5 | — | CLT covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 147.2 | Over 5.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | RICH 76.9 · CLT 70.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | RICH -4.1 | RICH -6.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | RICH 36.5 · CLT 32.5 | RICH 32 · CLT 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICHlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
| CLTlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RICH 1–1 CLTSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · RICH 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024-25 | RICH 48 @ CLT 65 | CLT -1.5 | CLT W |
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | CLT 56 @ RICH 64 | RICH -4.5 | RICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vs
W&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vs
VMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vs
FUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
over 3under 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Charlotte
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
INST
INSTW 92-76
+11.5
7
vs
TNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−7.5
11
vs
DAV
DAVL 55-62
−8.5
16
@
VT
VTL 76-84
+10.5
21
@
APP
APPL 63-65
−0.5
27
vs
ILST
ILSTL 69-79
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+15.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−11.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−26.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+14.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−4.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
+8.5
over 3under 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Furman72–73
- Wvs Gardner-Webb102–67
- Wvs VMI87–54
- Wvs William & Mary90–86
- Wvs East Carolina87–72
1 day since their last game.
Charlotte
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois St69–79
- L@ App State63–65
- L@ Virginia Tech76–84
- Lvs Davidson55–62
- Wvs Tennessee Tech70–65
1 day since their last game.