Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -4.5✓ UNI covered by 9.5
UNI -4.5✓ UNI covered by 9.5Closing total131.5Under by 21.5
| UNI | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 2-11 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 3-10 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 67–60 EVAN · ✓ UNI (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 34 | 28 | 62 |
| EVAN | 18 | 30 | 48 |
1st half: UNI 34, EVAN 18 (UNI by 16). The model had UNI by 4.6 and a total of 59.5 (actual 52).
Team stats
| UNI | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-48 46% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 1-14 7% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 25 2 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 36 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-3 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 33 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Will Hornseth F | 27 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Leon Bond III G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Tristan Smith F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Pock F | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Chase Courbat F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Redek Born, Levi Valdo, Cade Courbat, Hunter Jacobson, Marino Dubravcic, Jalen Wilson, RJ Taylor
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 35 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 33 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Casey F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Trent Hundley F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Keishon Porter G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Marlon Barnes Jr., Aaron Gutman, James Dyson-Merwe, Leo Amari IV, Kaia Berridge, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -4.5
ModelUNI -7.6
Model edgeUNI +3.1
W UNI covered
Total
Market131.5
Model127.0
Model edgeUnder 4.5
W Under
Projected score
UNI 67.3 · EVAN 59.7
UNI 62 · EVAN 48
Win probability
UNI 75%
1st half
Spread
UNI -4.6
UNI -16.0
Total
59.5
52 points
Projected score
UNI 32.1 · EVAN 27.4
UNI 34 · EVAN 18
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -4.5
no move
CloseUNI -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open126.5
▲ 5
Close131.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNI -218 · EVAN +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -4.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -7.5
model UNI -7.5
Opened 126.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 5 upmodel 127
model 127
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| EVAN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UNI 5–2 EVANUNI leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UNI has won the last 2 meetings · UNI 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | EVAN 56 @ UNI 73 | UNI -13.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | EVAN 63 @ UNI 70 | UNI -13.5 | EVAN W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | UNI 89 @ EVAN 91 | EVAN +3.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | UNI 59 @ EVAN 71 | EVAN +9.5 | EVAN W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | EVAN 55 @ UNI 72 | UNI -11.5 | UNI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
13 games played
Straight up
10-3
77% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-10
23% overs · avg −12 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
over 3under 10avg −12 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vs BEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vs DRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @ BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
over 6under 7avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
10-3 overall · 3-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St75–66
- Wvs Valparaiso58–48
- L@ Saint Mary's58–63
- W@ UIC60–54
- Wvs Oakland75–63
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
2-11 overall · 0-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois St47–73
- L@ Bradley68–76
- Lvs Drake65–66
- Lvs Belmont78–83
- L@ Notre Dame58–82
3 days since their last game.