McCarthey Athletic Center · at Gonzaga · Conference game
Closing line
GONZ -25.5✓ GONZ covered by 9.5
GONZ -25.5✓ GONZ covered by 9.5Closing total154.5Under by 25.5
 LMU | This season | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| 9-6 | Record | 15-1 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LMU 64–87 GONZ · ✓ GONZ (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 19 | 28 | 47 |
| GONZ | 33 | 49 | 82 |
1st half: LMU 19, GONZ 33 (GONZ by 14). The model had GONZ by 13.6 and a total of 70.9 (actual 52).
Team stats
| LMU | GONZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-63 30% | Field goals | 36-67 54% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 3-7 43% | Free throws | 4-10 40% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 46 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Shelley F | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-12 | 0-4 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 28 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 25 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0-9 | 0-5 |
| Jan Vide G | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-1 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Thomas G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Aaron McBride F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Josh Dalton F | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Rick Issanza C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jael Martin F | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Tanner Thomas
| GONZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike F | 29 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Braden Huff F | 20 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Braeden Smith G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Steele Venters G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Davis Fogle G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Saint-Supery G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Warley G | 24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Adam Miller G | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Ismaila Diagne C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Haaland F | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Joaquim ArauzMoore G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Orness G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Jefferson, Alonzo Metz
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGONZ -25.5
ModelGONZ -22.9
Model edgeLMU +2.6
L GONZ covered
Total
Market154.5
Model151.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
W Under
Projected score
LMU 64.3 · GONZ 87.1
LMU 47 · GONZ 82
Win probability
GONZ 98%
1st half
Spread
GONZ -13.6
GONZ -14.0
Total
70.9
52 points
Projected score
LMU 28.7 · GONZ 42.2
LMU 19 · GONZ 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGONZ -24.5
1 → GONZ
CloseGONZ -25.5
1 pt toward GONZ
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LMU +2200 · GONZ -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GONZ -24.5 · closed GONZ -25.5 · moved 1 toward GONZmodel GONZ -23
model GONZ -23
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| GONZ | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LMU 1–6 GONZGONZ leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · GONZ has won the last 5 meetings · LMU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | LMU 53 @ GONZ 73 | GONZ -23.5 | LMU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | GONZ 96 @ LMU 68 | LMU +15.5 | GONZ W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | GONZ 91 @ LMU 74 | LMU +15.5 | GONZ W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | LMU 58 @ GONZ 92 | GONZ -14.5 | GONZ W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | GONZ 108 @ LMU 65 | LMU +8.5 | GONZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LMU
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs FAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs STBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs UCSD | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs UNA | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs MORG | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SMC | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs PAC | W 80-71 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | @ WSU | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−8.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+23.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
+3.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+4.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+5.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−26.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+7.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
−5.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+7.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+11.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+11.5
over 8under 7avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gonzaga
16 games played
Straight up
15-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXSO | W 98-43 | -29.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 8 | vs OU | W 83-68 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs CREI | W 90-63 | -12.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | @ ASU | W 77-65 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs SUU | W 122-50 | -35.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 24 | vs ALA | W 95-85 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs MD | W 100-61 | -14.5 | W +24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs MICH | L 61-101 | -3.5 | L −43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs UK | W 94-59 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNF | W 109-58 | -42.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCLA | W 82-72 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs CAM | W 98-70 | -36.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORE | W 91-82 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @ PEPP | W 96-56 | -29.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | @ USD | W 99-93 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | vs SEA | W 80-72 | -24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
+25.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
+4.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
+14.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−1.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+36.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+5.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+24.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−43.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
+29.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+8.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
−0.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
−8.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
−3.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
+10.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
−23.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
−16.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
−15.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
−11.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−16.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+11.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+1.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+3.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−3.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
−6.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+0.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
+6.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
+7.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
+17.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
−0.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
+31.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−3.5
over 8under 8avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LMU
9-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington St76–78
- Wvs Pacific80–71
- Lvs Saint Mary's73–78
- Wvs Morgan St83–56
- Wvs North Alabama91–57
2 days since their last game.
Gonzaga
15-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seattle U80–72
- W@ San Diego99–93
- W@ Pepperdine96–56
- Wvs Oregon91–82
- Wvs Campbell98–70
2 days since their last game.