Ocean Center · Neutral site
Closing line
HPU -10.5✓ UIC covered by 0.5
HPU -10.5✓ UIC covered by 0.5Closing total158.5Over by 11.5
| HPU | This season | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 83–75 UIC · ✓ HPU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 41 | 49 | 90 |
| UIC | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: HPU 41, UIC 39 (HPU by 2). The model had HPU by 4.8 and a total of 73.8 (actual 80).
Team stats
| HPU | UIC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 30-37 81% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 14 |
| 13 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 20 | Fouls | 24 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 35 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 9-12 | 2-4 |
| Owen Aquino F | 31 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rob Martin G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| Terry Anderson F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Chase Johnston G | 23 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 25 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Scotty Washington G | 19 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Babacar Diallo G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Ibukunoluwa F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braden Hausen F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Liam Carney, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, David Fonville, Vincent Brady II
| UIC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Johnson G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Mekhi Lowery G | 31 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Rashund Washington Jr. G | 25 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Ahmad Henderson II G | 24 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Ante Beljan F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayce Nathaniel F | 23 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Sam Silverstein G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Abdul Momoh F | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Hammons G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Tai Walters-Whitaker, Elijah Crawford, AJ Morgan, Chris Walker, Nano Barrantes, Carlos Harris III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -10.5
ModelHPU -7.6
Model edgeUIC +2.9
W UIC covered
Total
Market158.5
Model157.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
HPU 82.6 · UIC 75
HPU 90 · UIC 80
Win probability
HPU 75%
1st half
Spread
HPU -4.8
HPU -2.0
Total
73.8
80 points
Projected score
HPU 39.3 · UIC 34.5
HPU 41 · UIC 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIC -7.5
18 → HPU
CloseHPU -10.5
18 pts toward HPU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 4
Close158.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
HPU -600 · UIC +400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIC -7.5 · closed HPU -10.5 · moved 18 toward HPUmodel HPU -7.5
model HPU -7.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 4 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPUlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| UIClast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +6.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vs
JAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@
UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vs
CAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
over 1under 3avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UIC
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DETM
DETMW 91-71
+10.5
7
@
ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+3.5
15
@
CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDETM
DETMW 91-71
+19.5
7
@ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+2.5
15
@CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−26.5
over 2under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Canisius93–50
- L@ UAB74–91
- Wvs Jacksonville85–64
- Wvs Furman97–71
3 days since their last game.
UIC
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Chicago St67–63
- L@ Oregon St73–76
- Wvs Detroit Mercy91–71
5 days since their last game.