The Super Pit · at North Texas · Conference game
Closing line
UNT -15.5✓ UNT covered by 3.5
UNT -15.5✓ UNT covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Over by 4.5
 UTSA | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 2-14 | Record | 9-7 |
| 3-13 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 60–75 UNT · ✓ UNT (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 23 | 39 | 62 |
| UNT | 45 | 36 | 81 |
1st half: UTSA 23, UNT 45 (UNT by 22). The model had UNT by 8.9 and a total of 63.0 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UTSA | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-50 36% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 16-26 62% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 46 20 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 9 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Austin Nunez G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-14 | 0-5 |
| Dorian Hayes G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brent Moss G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| LJ Brown G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mo Njie C | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vasean Allette, Jackson Fazande, Macaleab Rich, Stanley Borden, Pierce Spencer
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Arnett F | 33 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 31 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 10-19 | 7-13 |
| Cole Franklin G | 30 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Reece Robinson F | 23 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Demarion Watson G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| EJ Horton G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will McClendon, Josiah Shackleford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNT -15.5
ModelUNT -15.2
Model edgeUTSA +0.3
L UNT covered
Total
Market138.5
Model134.5
Model edgeUnder 4.0
L Over
Projected score
UTSA 59.6 · UNT 74.8
UTSA 62 · UNT 81
Win probability
UNT 91%
1st half
Spread
UNT -8.9
UNT -22.0
Total
63.0
68 points
Projected score
UTSA 27.1 · UNT 36
UTSA 23 · UNT 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNT -16.5
1 → UTSA
CloseUNT -15.5
1 pt toward UTSA
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +850 · UNT -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNT -16.5 · closed UNT -15.5 · moved 1 toward UTSAmodel UNT -15
model UNT -15
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% |
| UNT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UTSA 2–5 UNTUNT leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UTSA 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UTSA 54 @ UNT 50 | UNT -14.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UNT 72 @ UTSA 57 | UTSA +8.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UTSA 64 @ UNT 62 | UNT -14.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 26, 2022-23 | UTSA 59 @ UNT 63 | UNT -19.5 | UTSA W |
| Dec 22, 2022-23 | UNT 78 @ UTSA 54 | UTSA +13.5 | UNT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
16 games played
Straight up
2-14
13% wins
Against the spread
3-13
19% covers · avg −7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIUE | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXST | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ DEN | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs ACU | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs GASO | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs USA | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ ALA | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ COLO | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ USC | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 22 | vs SEA | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | @ FAU | L 70-110 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ TEM | L 57-76 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 7 | vs CLT | L 58-74 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs TULN | L 52-85 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs RICE | L 73-89 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 18 | @ MEM | L 69-95 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−1.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
−1.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
+7.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
−23.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−8.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−9.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−25.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
−9.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 13avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−2.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
+9.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
−9.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
+21.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−16.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−13.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−10.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
+17.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
+16.5
over 6under 10avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @MEM | L 48-57 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 4 | vs TLSA | W 72-67 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 7 | vs USF | L 70-74 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 11 | @ WICH | L 67-78 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 18 | @TULN | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
+0.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+7.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
+0.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
−2.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
−32.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+0.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
−3.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
+9.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
−3.5
over 5under 11avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-14 overall · 0-6 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Memphis69–95
- Lvs Rice73–89
- Lvs Tulane52–85
- Lvs Charlotte58–74
- L@ Temple57–76
3 days since their last game.
North Texas
9-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tulane71–63
- L@ Wichita St67–78
- Lvs South Florida70–74
- Wvs Tulsa72–67
- L@ Memphis48–57
3 days since their last game.