Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -1.5✓ VAL covered by 11.5
UNI -1.5✓ VAL covered by 11.5Closing total130.5Under by 32.5
| UNI | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 7-10 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 66–63 VAL · ✗ UNI (60%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| VAL | 22 | 32 | 54 |
1st half: UNI 18, VAL 22 (VAL by 4). The model had UNI by 1.9 and a total of 60.8 (actual 40).
Team stats
| UNI | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 17-51 33% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 2-7 29% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 7 | Assists | 4 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 37 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 35 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 35 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Trey Campbell G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-18 | 0-6 |
| Will Hornseth F | 31 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Geon Hutchins G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| RJ Taylor G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Levi Valdo, Tristan Smith, Cade Courbat, Redek Born, Marino Dubravcic, Jalen Wilson, Hunter Jacobson, Chase Courbat
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease F | 34 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-7 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0-9 | 0-2 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Sader Servilus G | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Camden Webster, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson, Joe Vick
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -1.5
no move
CloseUNI -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
no move
Close130.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNI -135 · VAL +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -1.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -3
model UNI -3
Opened 130.5 · unchangedmodel 129.5
model 129.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNI -1.5 | UNI -3.0 | UNI +1.5 | L VAL covered |
| Total | 130.5 | 129.7 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNI 66.3 · VAL 63.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNI -1.9 | VAL -4.0 |
| 1H total | 60.8 | 40 |
| 1H projected score | UNI 31.4 · VAL 29.4 | UNI 18 · VAL 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| VAL | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNI 6–3 VALUNI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNI 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | VAL 48 @ UNI 58 | UNI -8.5 | UNI W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | VAL 64 vs UNI 63 | UNI -8.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UNI 73 @ VAL 80 | VAL +4.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | VAL 54 @ UNI 68 | UNI -14.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | UNI 86 @ VAL 67 | VAL +7.5 | UNI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −9.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vsVAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs BEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
over 6under 11avg −9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vsUIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs ILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
over 9under 8avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
11-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UIC61–69
- L@ Bradley69–75
- Lvs Belmont65–78
- W@ Evansville62–48
- Wvs Indiana St75–66
4 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
7-10 overall · 2-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont74–78
- L@ Murray St79–92
- Wvs Illinois St77–71
- Wvs UIC66–59
- L@ S Illinois70–75
4 days since their last game.