1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. UTM @ SC
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

UT Martin Skyhawks at South Carolina Gamecocks

Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina
#341UTMUT Martin
@
#79SCSouth Carolina
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTMThis seasonSC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SC 81–59 · win probability SC 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 139.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SC has more of the edges

UTM 2, SC 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
UTM has played the 364th-hardest schedule, SC the 54th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SCBig
UTM offense vs SC defense
Offense 352nd of 366 against a defense 53rd, on the model’s ratings
SCBig
SC offense vs UTM defense
Offense 98th of 366 against a defense 276th, on the model’s ratings
UTMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTM 37.0%, SC 27.2%. Defensive: UTM 68.0%, SC 67.9%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UTM plays 66.2 a game (303rd fastest), SC 68.8 (195th). Faster games mean more points
UTMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTM 48.7 and allows 46.1; SC 50.3 and allows 51.6
SCSmall
Home court
SC at home. This season: SC 0-0 at home, UTM 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTM 37.4, SC 36.7. Allowed: UTM 35.8, SC 34.0
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTM 21.4%, SC 14.4%. Forced: UTM 20.0%, SC 14.6%
Even
Three-pointers
UTM hits 30.4% and allows 30.2%; SC hits 31.1% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 47.1% and 44.4% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTM 20%, SC 13%. Transfers in: UTM 1, SC 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SC -22.1—
Total—139.6—
Projected score—UTM 58.8 · SC 80.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSC -13.0—
1H total65.4—
1H projected scoreUTM 26.2 · SC 39.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

South Carolina has the better starters

Position by position: UT Martin 0, South Carolina 2, even 3
UT MartinBetterSouth Carolina
G F. Petkovski5.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 5
SCBig
G S. Blakeney TR14.3 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 71
G D. Remagen TR1.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Mincy TR14.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.9 ast Score 81
G E. Moya NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Necas TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1 ast Score 46
F V. Khryapa2.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 5
SCBig
F C. Heide TR5.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
F G. Sulaberidze NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F A. Bieliauskas TR4.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 36
UT MartinBetterSouth Carolina
UTM offense352nd of 366 · -13.0
SCBig
SC defense53rd of 366 · +1.6
UTM defense276th of 366 · -7.0
SCBig
SC offense98th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players
SCBig
Backcourt+2.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.0 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUTM betterSC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UT Martin
Guards
F. Petkovski27 minD. Remagen11 min · TRE. MoyaNewR. ConleyNewS. SavkovNewN. StuknysNew
Forwards
V. Khryapa14 minG. SulaberidzeNewA. BanceviciusNewO. SambeNewG. BubnysNewA. VilkasNew
South Carolina
Guards
S. Blakeney34 min · TRK. Mincy34 min · TRG. Polk13 minD. Hannah13 min · TRE. Sparkman4 minM. JohnsonNew
Forwards
J. Necas25 min · TRC. Heide23 min · TRA. Bieliauskas20 min · TRH. Assemian10 minH. LopezNewJ. FernandezNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTMSC
Scoring
67.8 #319Points per game74.9 #165
1.03 #294Points per possession1.09 #161
66.2 #303Pace (possessions)68.8 #195
Shooting
48.7 #297Effective FG%50.3 #226
30.4 #3373-point %31.1 #317
47.1 #323-point attempt rate44.4 #80
37.4 #118Free throw rate36.7 #137
Possessions
21.4 #358Turnover rate14.4 #39
37.0 #17Offensive rebound rate27.2 #289
12.9 #222Assists per game13.3 #190
Defense
64.7 #5Points allowed76.5 #228
0.98 #11Points allowed per possession1.11 #252
46.1 #11Opponent effective FG%51.6 #188
30.2 #9Opponent 3-point %31.8 #56
20.0 #24Turnovers forced14.6 #314
68.0 #259Defensive rebound rate67.9 #263
8.3 #27Steals per game5.5 #295
4.1 #65Blocks per game2.4 #317
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UT Martin

19-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St55–68
  • Wvs E Illinois66–63
  • Lvs Tennessee St42–67
  • Wvs Tennessee Tech64–49
  • L@ Little Rock65–67

A week or more of rest.

South Carolina

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oklahoma74–86
  • W@ Ole Miss64–61
  • Lvs Tennessee59–78
  • L@ Georgia68–87
  • Lvs Kentucky63–72

A week or more of rest.