Gentry Center · at Tennessee St · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -2.5✓ TNST covered by 4.5
TNST -2.5✓ TNST covered by 4.5Closing total141.5Over by 7.5
 UTM | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 3-4 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 70–74 TNST · ✓ TNST (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 37 | 34 | 71 |
| TNST | 32 | 46 | 78 |
1st half: UTM 37, TNST 32 (UTM by 5). The model had TNST by 1.9 and a total of 67.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UTM | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 39 14 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 7-14 | 2-7 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 32 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 6-16 | 0-3 |
| Filip Petkovski G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Pedro Santos G | 28 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Afan Trnka G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luca Colceag F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Damien King G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lamine Niang C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Price, Ama Sow, Charlie King, Dragos Lungu, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Lucas Williams
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Harper II G | 33 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-6 |
| Dante Harris G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 31 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 10-20 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 29 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 24 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Khalil London G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Damon Howard Jr., Ogien Ayo, Alex Garcia, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -3.5
1 → UTM
CloseTNST -2.5
1 pt toward UTM
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTM +124 · TNST -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -3.5 · closed TNST -2.5 · moved 1 toward UTMmodel TNST -3.5
model TNST -3.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TNST -2.5 | TNST -3.3 | TNST +0.8 | W TNST covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 144.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTM 70.4 · TNST 73.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -1.9 | UTM -5.0 |
| 1H total | 67.6 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | UTM 32.8 · TNST 34.7 | UTM 37 · TNST 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTMlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% |
| TNSTlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UTM 4–4 TNSTSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 2 meetings · UTM 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | TNST 86 @ UTM 75 | UTM -2.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | UTM 80 @ TNST 81 | TNST -1.5 | UTM W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TNST 87 @ UTM 96 | UTM -6.5 | UTM W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | UTM 91 @ TNST 75 | TNST -4.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | TNST 88 @ UTM 82 | UTM -4.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UNLV | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRAD | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ FSU | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs PV | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs USM | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs CHSO | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs ALST | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ SIU | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+26.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
+5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−9.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−11.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
+13.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
+3.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+0.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
−5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−18.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−16.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
−18.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
−6.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−9.5
over 2under 6avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −11.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@
WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@
TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@
UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@
UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@
AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
over 2under 5avg −11.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ S Illinois54–83
- Wvs Alabama St74–64
- Wvs Charleston So73–56
- Lvs Southern Miss60–70
- Wvs Prairie View69–68
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee St
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNLV63–60
- L@ Alabama A&M53–80
- W@ Chattanooga70–64
- W@ UNC Asheville75–73
- L@ Tennessee60–89
5 days since their last game.