Reed Green Coliseum · at Southern Miss · Conference game
Closing line
USM -11.5✓ UL covered by 3.5
USM -11.5✓ UL covered by 3.5Closing total132.5Under by 16.5
 UL | This season | USM |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | Record | 4-5 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UL 63–75 USM · ✓ USM (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 17 | 37 | 54 |
| USM | 24 | 38 | 62 |
1st half: UL 17, USM 24 (USM by 7). The model had USM by 7.4 and a total of 64.6 (actual 41).
Team stats
| UL | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 15-48 31% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 26-39 67% |
| 38 5 off | Rebounds | 40 7 off |
| 4 | Assists | 5 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 8 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'vion Lavergne G | 37 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Dorian Finister G | 33 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Milan Mejia G | 28 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 21 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Lewis F | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxon Olvera G | 27 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-2 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dariyus Woodson F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mike Collins G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Michael Mouton G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Landry, Sean Elkinton, Zeke Cook, Logan Myers, Rahman Olajuwon, Karris Bilal, Jamyron Keller
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curt Lewis G | 31 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Tylik Weeks F | 30 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Djahi Binet F | 27 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chiante' Tramble G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Israel Hart G | 19 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Tegra Izay C | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Felipe Patino G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jett Montgomery, Dalyn Brandon, EJ Paymon, Blake Lander, Fallou Diagne, Robert Cowherd, IJ Ezuma, Chandler Watts
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSM -12.5
1 → UL
CloseUSM -11.5
1 pt toward UL
Total
Open131.5
▲ 1
Close132.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UL +625 · USM -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USM -12.5 · closed USM -11.5 · moved 1 toward ULmodel USM -12.5
model USM -12.5
Opened 131.5 · closed 132.5 · moved 1 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USM -11.5 | USM -12.5 | USM +1.0 | L UL covered |
| Total | 132.5 | 137.7 | Over 5.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UL 62.6 · USM 75.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USM -7.4 | USM -7.0 |
| 1H total | 64.6 | 41 |
| 1H projected score | UL 28.6 · USM 36 | UL 17 · USM 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| USMlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UL 4–3 USMUL leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UL 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | UL 62 @ USM 60 | USM -4.5 | UL W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | USM 67 @ UL 59 | UL +1.5 | USM W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | USM 61 @ UL 77 | UL -8.5 | UL W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UL 71 @ USM 82 | USM +2.5 | USM W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | UL 71 @ USM 82 | USM -2.5 | USM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LT | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−17.5
over 3under 8avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Miss
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
over 5under 4avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana
1-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisiana Tech44–65
- Lvs UNC Wilmington63–70
- L@ Lamar55–65
- Lvs Jackson St45–51
- L@ UC Davis56–77
5 days since their last game.
Southern Miss
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ole Miss67–71
- Wvs Grambling68–60
- L@ Miami64–88
- W@ Radford82–75
- Wvs UT Martin70–60
5 days since their last game.