Kathleen and Tom Elam Center · at UT Martin · Conference game
Closing line
UTM -6.5✓ LR covered by 3.5
UTM -6.5✓ LR covered by 3.5Closing total139.5Under by 32.5
 LR | This season | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| 7-13 | Record | 14-5 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 11-8 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 6-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 64–73 UTM · ✓ UTM (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 21 | 31 | 52 |
| UTM | 23 | 32 | 55 |
1st half: LR 21, UTM 23 (UTM by 2). The model had UTM by 4.8 and a total of 64.2 (actual 44).
Team stats
| LR | UTM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 20-52 38% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 10-36 28% |
| 2-3 67% | Free throws | 5-10 50% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Bayless G | 39 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Johnathan Lawson G | 37 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 33 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 32 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 26 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Claytor IV F | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, KK Robinson
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Petkovski G | 36 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 34 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-7 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 31 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 28 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Damien King G | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pedro Santos G | 21 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Luca Colceag F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Charlie King, Afan Trnka, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Ama Sow, Lucas Williams, Dragos Lungu, Lamine Niang, Ty Price
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTM -6.5
ModelUTM -8.3
Model edgeUTM +1.8
L LR covered
Total
Market139.5
Model137.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
W Under
Projected score
LR 64.4 · UTM 72.7
LR 52 · UTM 55
Win probability
UTM 77%
1st half
Spread
UTM -4.8
UTM -2.0
Total
64.2
44 points
Projected score
LR 29.7 · UTM 34.5
LR 21 · UTM 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTM -7.5
1 → LR
CloseUTM -6.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open136.5
▲ 3
Close139.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LR +245 · UTM -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTM -7.5 · closed UTM -6.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel UTM -8.5
model UTM -8.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UTM | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LR 5–2 UTMLR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · LR has won the last 4 meetings · LR 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | UTM 77 vs LR 82 | LR -5.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UTM 57 @ LR 75 | LR -4.5 | LR W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | LR 57 @ UTM 56 | UTM -1.5 | LR W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | UTM 57 @ LR 77 | LR -3 | LR W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LR 72 @ UTM 77 | UTM -2.5 | UTM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vs TNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs TNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs EIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 17 | vs WIU | W 86-79 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ SEMO | L 65-70 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @TNST | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TNTC | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
−3.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
+0.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−2.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
−11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
+29.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
−10.5
29
@TNST
TNSTL 63-70
−17.5
31
@TNTC
TNTCL 77-87
+22.5
over 11under 9avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Martin
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UNLV | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRAD | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ FSU | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs PV | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs USM | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs CHSO | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs ALST | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @SIU | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @TNST | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @TNTC | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vsWIU | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsEIU | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | @MORE | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | @USI | W 73-56 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vsSIUE | W 65-59 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vsLIN | W 69-55 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 20 | @SEMO | L 50-66 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 29 | @EIU | W 76-68 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 31 | @WIU | W 84-44 | -10.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+26.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
+5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−9.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−11.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
+13.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
+3.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−20.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
−4.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+21.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−6.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−6.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-68
+5.5
10
@USI
USIW 73-56
+11.5
15
vsSIUE
SIUEW 65-59
−1.5
17
vsLIN
LINW 69-55
+11.5
20
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-66
−13.5
29
@EIU
EIUW 76-68
+4.5
31
@WIU
WIUW 84-44
+29.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+0.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
−5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−18.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−16.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
−18.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
−6.5
10
@SIU
SIUL 54-83
−9.5
18
@TNST
TNSTL 71-78
+7.5
20
@TNTC
TNTCW 86-62
+2.5
1
vsWIU
WIUW 67-60
−13.5
3
vsEIU
EIUW 65-61
−7.5
8
@MORE
MOREW 76-68
+8.5
10
@USI
USIW 73-56
−8.5
15
vsSIUE
SIUEW 65-59
−7.5
17
vsLIN
LINW 69-55
−23.5
20
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-66
−24.5
29
@EIU
EIUW 76-68
+14.5
31
@WIU
WIUW 84-44
−9.5
over 6under 13avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
7-13 overall · 6-5 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee Tech77–87
- L@ Tennessee St63–70
- L@ SE Missouri65–70
- Wvs W Illinois86–79
- Wvs E Illinois74–63
3 days since their last game.
UT Martin
14-5 overall · 9-2 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Illinois84–44
- W@ E Illinois76–68
- L@ SE Missouri50–66
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions69–55
- Wvs SIUE65–59
3 days since their last game.