Jack Stephens Center · at Little Rock · Conference game
Closing line
LR -1.5✓ LR covered by 17.5
Closing total144.5Under by 9.5
| This season | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 2-9 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNTC 72–72 LR · ✗ TNTC (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 28 | 30 | 58 |
| LR | 26 | 51 | 77 |
1st half: TNTC 28, LR 26 (TNTC by 2). The model had TNTC by 0.5 and a total of 67.6 (actual 54).
Team stats
| TNTC | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-65 28% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 8-34 24% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 45 21 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 7 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| TNTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Ferguson G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Ty Owens G | 27 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Mekhi Cameron G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-13 | 2-10 |
| Brandon Muntu G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-15 | 5-12 |
| Dani Pounds F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Quavian Florence G | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Mekhi Turner F | 15 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| JaJuan Nicholls F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| C.J. McPherson G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jah'Kim Payne G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Grant Slatten G | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jacobe Whitted F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Owen Varnado, Maguire Evans, Hagan Preston, Colin Ayers
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 37 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 33 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 30 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 25 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Claytor IV F | 29 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, KK Robinson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLR -1.5
no move
CloseLR -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TNTC -102 · LR -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LR -1.5 · unchangedmodel TNTC -0.5
model TNTC -0.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5 matches the line
model 144.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LR -1.5 | TNTC -0.5 | TNTC +2.0 | L LR covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 144.3 | Under 0.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TNTC 72.4 · LR 71.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNTC -0.5 | TNTC -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.6 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | TNTC 34 · LR 33.6 | TNTC 28 · LR 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
TNTC 1–5 LRLR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LR has won the last 5 meetings · TNTC 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | TNTC 75 @ LR 79 | LR -7.5 | TNTC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | LR 77 @ TNTC 71 | TNTC +1.5 | LR W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TNTC 43 @ LR 81 | LR -13.5 | LR W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | LR 81 @ TNTC 75 | TNTC +1.5 | LR W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | LR 91 @ TNTC 89 | TNTC -6.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee Tech
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 70-82 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 65-70 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 17 | vs | L 59-61 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 54-104 | +37.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 81-123 | +34.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 80-83 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 87-59 | +1.5 | W +29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 85-74 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 62-86 | +2.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 76-88 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
WKU
L 70-82
+2.5
7
@
CLT
L 65-70
+7.5
17
vs
WGA
L 59-61
−6.5
19
@
UPST
W 88-84
+6.5
26
@
UK
L 54-104
−12.5
29
@
UGA
L 81-123
−7.5
3
@
LIP
L 80-83
+7.5
6
@
WGA
W 87-59
+29.5
18
vs
SEMO
W 85-74
+13.5
20
vs
UTM
L 62-86
−21.5
30
vs
TNST
L 76-88
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
WKU
L 70-82
−1.5
7
@
CLT
L 65-70
−11.5
17
vs
WGA
L 59-61
−32.5
19
@
UPST
W 88-84
+21.5
26
@
UK
L 54-104
+0.5
29
@
UGA
L 81-123
+43.5
3
@
LIP
L 80-83
+10.5
6
@
WGA
W 87-59
−4.5
18
vs
SEMO
W 85-74
+3.5
20
vs
UTM
L 62-86
+2.5
30
vs
TNST
L 76-88
+8.5
over 7under 4avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Little Rock
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
MILW
L 72-92
−16.5
12
@
MARQ
L 49-89
−18.5
15
@
BALL
W 68-62
+8.5
18
@
MUR
L 68-89
−7.5
21
@
TXST
L 56-65
−3.5
29
@
SIU
L 65-74
+4.5
3
@
CARK
L 47-85
−34.5
6
vs
ARST
L 78-90
−2.5
9
@
WVU
L 58-90
−4.5
16
@
MORE
L 64-78
−11.5
18
@
USI
W 77-62
+12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
MILW
L 72-92
+7.5
12
@
MARQ
L 49-89
−17.5
15
@
BALL
W 68-62
−16.5
18
@
MUR
L 68-89
+3.5
21
@
TXST
L 56-65
−10.5
29
@
SIU
L 65-74
−2.5
3
@
CARK
L 47-85
−6.5
6
vs
ARST
L 78-90
+20.5
9
@
WVU
L 58-90
+15.5
16
@
MORE
L 64-78
+5.5
18
@
USI
W 77-62
−1.5
over 5under 6avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee Tech
3-8 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee St76–88
- Lvs UT Martin62–86
- Wvs SE Missouri85–74
- W@ West Georgia87–59
- L@ Lipscomb80–83
2 days since their last game.
Little Rock
2-9 overall · 1-1 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles77–62
- L@ Morehead St64–78
- L@ West Virginia58–90
- Lvs Arkansas St78–90
- L@ C Arkansas47–85
A week or more of rest.