Gentry Center · at Tennessee St · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -4.5✓ TNST covered by 2.5
TNST -4.5✓ TNST covered by 2.5Closing total150.5Under by 17.5
 LR | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 10-7 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 73–80 TNST · ✓ TNST (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 35 | 28 | 63 |
| TNST | 30 | 40 | 70 |
1st half: LR 35, TNST 30 (LR by 5). The model had TNST by 3.9 and a total of 71.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| LR | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-67 36% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 14-23 61% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 38 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 37 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-16 | 1-5 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 34 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 34 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Truman Claytor IV F | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Joseph Thomas, Travonne Jackson, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, Tracy Steele Jr., KK Robinson
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 36 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Dante Harris G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Travis Harper II G | 31 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 23 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Khalil London G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kavien Jones F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jayden Jones, Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -5.5
1 → LR
CloseTNST -4.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open156.5
▼ 6
Close150.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
LR +185 · TNST -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -5.5 · closed TNST -4.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel TNST -7
model TNST -7
Opened 156.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 6 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TNST -4.5 | TNST -6.8 | TNST +2.3 | W TNST covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 152.9 | Over 2.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LR 73.1 · TNST 79.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -3.9 | LR -5.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | LR 33.8 · TNST 37.7 | LR 35 · TNST 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
LR 2–5 TNSTTNST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 3 meetings · LR 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | TNST 84 @ LR 79 | LR +1.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | TNST 72 @ LR 70 | LR -7.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | LR 86 @ TNST 95 | TNST -1.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | TNST 60 @ LR 85 | LR -7.5 | LR W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | LR 82 @ TNST 90 | TNST -3 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vs TNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsTNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs EIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 17 | vs WIU | W 86-79 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ SEMO | L 65-70 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
−3.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
+0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
17
vsWIU
WIUW 86-79
+29.5
22
@SEMO
SEMOL 65-70
−10.5
over 10under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vsSEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vsMORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @LIN | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
24
@LIN
LINW 96-86
+21.5
over 9under 8avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
7-11 overall · 6-3 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SE Missouri65–70
- Wvs W Illinois86–79
- Wvs E Illinois74–63
- W@ Lindenwood Lions82–74
- W@ SIUE73–70
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee St
10-7 overall · 7-3 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lindenwood Lions96–86
- L@ SIUE66–74
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–67
- Wvs Morehead St105–100
- L@ E Illinois70–74
5 days since their last game.