Jack Stephens Center · at Little Rock · Conference game
Closing line
LR -10.5✓ WIU covered by 3.5
LR -10.5✓ WIU covered by 3.5Closing total135.5Over by 29.5
 WIU | This season | LR |
|---|---|---|
| 1-14 | Record | 6-10 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIU 64–73 LR · ✓ LR (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 41 | 38 | 79 |
| LR | 50 | 36 | 86 |
1st half: WIU 41, LR 50 (LR by 9). The model had LR by 5.3 and a total of 63.8 (actual 91).
Team stats
| WIU | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 15-15 100% |
| 42 18 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karyiek Dixon F | 38 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 37 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 8-16 | 3-11 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 36 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 9-21 | 3-4 |
| Makai Kvamme G | 35 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Goanar Biliew F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ifiok Peter F | 25 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Francis Okwuosah F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Danny Stephens F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Nick Hittle F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Edwards, Jack Riley, Tyran Cook, Antwaun Massey, Marcus Pigram, Steven Tipton
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Bayless G | 38 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Johnathan Lawson G | 37 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 6-15 | 6-13 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 37 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 31 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 29 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Truman Claytor IV F | 21 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khasen Robinson, Travonne Jackson, Joseph Thomas, Christian Hughes, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, Tracy Steele Jr., KK Robinson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLR -9.5
1 → LR
CloseLR -10.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open135.5
no move
Close135.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WIU +425 · LR -575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LR -9.5 · closed LR -10.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel LR -9
model LR -9
Opened 135.5 · unchangedmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LR -10.5 | LR -9.1 | WIU +1.4 | W WIU covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 136.1 | Over 0.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WIU 63.5 · LR 72.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LR -5.3 | LR -9.0 |
| 1H total | 63.8 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | WIU 29.2 · LR 34.6 | WIU 41 · LR 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| LR | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WIU 0–4 LRLR leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · LR has won the last 4 meetings · WIU 0-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | WIU 61 @ LR 75 | LR -10.5 | LR W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | LR 62 @ WIU 51 | WIU +4.5 | LR W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | WIU 57 vs LR 82 | LR -5.5 | LR W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | LR 63 @ WIU 60 | WIU -1.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Illinois
15 games played
Straight up
1-14
7% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ RAD | L 75-80 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ IOWA | L 58-77 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ CSUB | L 58-74 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ CBU | L 59-69 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCU | L 64-84 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs UND | L 69-78 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ DRKE | L 57-108 | +17.5 | L −33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @UND | W 69-66 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | @ LIN | L 76-92 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIUE | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ UTM | L 60-67 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @ SEMO | L 50-73 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | vs TNST | L 68-90 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TNTC | L 54-59 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 13 | @ EIU | L 55-57 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | U 112 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+11.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
+11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−8.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
+5.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
−16.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
−6.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
−33.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
+10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
−3.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
+1.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
+6.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−9.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
−15.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−1.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+3.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−9.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
−12.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
+9.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
+0.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
+26.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
−10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
+21.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
−11.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
−13.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−24.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
+12.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−30.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
−20.5
over 6under 9avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Little Rock
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | @ WVU | L 58-90 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ MORE | L 64-78 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 18 | @ USI | W 77-62 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 1 | vsTNTC | W 77-58 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsTNST | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @SIUE | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @LIN | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsEIU | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
−4.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
−11.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
+12.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
+17.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
−3.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+6.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 58-90
+15.5
16
@MORE
MOREL 64-78
+5.5
18
@USI
USIW 77-62
−1.5
1
vsTNTC
TNTCW 77-58
−9.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTL 79-84
+18.5
8
@SIUE
SIUEW 73-70
+11.5
10
@LIN
LINW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 74-63
+3.5
over 9under 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Illinois
1-14 overall · 0-7 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ E Illinois55–57
- Lvs Tennessee Tech54–59
- Lvs Tennessee St68–90
- L@ SE Missouri50–73
- L@ UT Martin60–67
4 days since their last game.
Little Rock
6-10 overall · 5-2 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Illinois74–63
- W@ Lindenwood Lions82–74
- W@ SIUE73–70
- Lvs Tennessee St79–84
- Wvs Tennessee Tech77–58
2 days since their last game.